My forecast for 2015 is that Agile, or rather the term “Agile” as we all know it, starts to fade away. The reason isn’t so much that it has not met up to its promises, but rather that it becomes redundant to add a moniker to a term that should already lie at the heart of how we all do projects and business in general. It is like saying we should do projects better in the future, but of course we should be them better because the converse is to not do them better and lose our jobs, businesses and organizations!
But this is not to say that individuals and organizations will not need more training, education and knowledge of Agile, rather the contrary, because one could argue that it is redundant and even contradictory to call “common sense” common, since if it were already so common why would we even need to identify it? Shouldn’t it already be so common that it becomes redundant to tell people to use it? I think that is because despite sentiment of the commonality of certain common sense ideas, very few people follow them commonly! Many people seem to do the contrary and are why for example, the self-help genre with all its books, seminars, workshops, etc. still prevail. Likewise, all the books, seminars and workshops for Agile will prevail.
I guess what I’m really saying is that the hype around Agile starts to fade away if it hasn’t already. But that’s a good thing since it now becomes part of the genre for which anybody involved in project management should know about.
So with that I conclude my year end forecast and I wish you all a prosperous 2015. I look forward to more interesting discussion on agility and beyond!