Looking back, I remember my first personal computer in the early 1980s, the first time logging into an online service (CompuServe - over a 300 baud dial up modem by Radio Shack) in the early 1980s as well, my first IBM PC compatible computer (640k of memory and 20 meg hard-drive), the introductions of servers (no longer just mainframes), cell phones, the introduction of the web browser (NETSCAPE), smartphones, and so much more. This technology evolution took decades.
Now the massive advancements and introduction of numerous emerging technologies are beginning to minimize the ability to assess their disruptive changes on one hand, and planning their strategic integration on the other. This is beginning to have a huge impact on nearly every aspect of our lives (business and personal). A short distance ahead we can begin to get a glimpse of what our business and personal lives might be like with all of the emerging technologies culminating into the high-tech world of tomorrow.
Some seem to think it is already hear. Others believe it is vastly overstated and may never come to fruition. What we have begun to experience is without question the new normal. The new normal is the inflection point where multiple technologies rapidly move from the research and experimental phase to real-world commercial application and a topic on the agenda of board meetings. This period will only take a few years (3 to 5).
The big question on the minds of strategists and business leaders is what should we expect to be the next normal? Perhaps that should be on the minds of every program and project manager as well. All too often we are so caught-up in the trials and tribulations of delivering current programs and projects, future planning falls by the wayside. Don’t you think it would be best if we all take steps and begin to prepare for this coming period of rapid, dynamic change whether it is in 2025 or beyond. After all we will be expected to deliver it! I think we all would be much better off that way.
INSIGHT: John Sculley former Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Apple in the early 80s said, “The future belongs to those who see possibilities before they become obvious.”