Beware The Cost Of Success

From the Game Theory in Management Blog
by
Modelling Business Decisions and their Consequences

About this Blog

RSS

Recent Posts

The Virtue of Not Seeing The Reposing Camel

Don’t Be Tormented By Talking Felt Pigs

Beware The Cost Of Success

Mary Sue Saves The Project… Again

I Suppose That Depends On Your Definition Of Success



In previous posts I’ve discussed the unfortunate but very real phenomena of having a portion of the project team opposed to success, if success means that you, the PM, will benefit personally. Imagine your organization depicted by a bell curve. The split looks like this:

Don’t believe me? Consider the story of Joe Rochefort.

U.S. Navy Officer Joe Rochefort was the cryptologist who led the team that cracked the Japanese Imperial Navy’s JN25 code in the early months of the Pacific Theater of World War II. From the American entry into the war through early June of 1942, the Japanese Navy experienced one success after another, and the situation was dire for the Allies. After breaking parts of the Imperial Navy’s top-secret code, Rochefort became convinced that the next major attack would come against Midway Island, in the northern Pacific, but almost all of his colleagues disagreed. One ally in OP-20-G suggested a ruse, to announce in an open transmission that Midway was short of drinking water. The Japanese took the bait, and transmitted in their JN25 Code that their next target was low on drinking water. Rochefort was right.

With this knowledge, OP-20-G would render to the Midway Force’s commanding officer, Raymond Spruance, virtually the entire Imperial Navy order of battle for their attack on Midway, intelligence with a value that cannot be overestimated. The Americans were out-numbered, both in ships and planes, and the IJN personnel were better trained and more experienced. They were, in fact, outclassed in every single way but one: the USN had the Japanese order of battle, thanks to Rochefort. The Japanese weren’t even aware that the United States Navy had a presence in the area until well after the battle had been joined.

The result of the ensuing battle has been accurately described as the turning point of the Pacific War. The Japanese lost four front-line aircraft carriers, dozens of planes with irreplaceable crews, and the initiative in the Pacific. The Americans lost one already-damaged carrier, the Yorktown, a minority of the aircraft committed, and a handful of support vessels. If ever the margin of victory in a major battle could be attributed to a single individual, the result of the Battle of Midway being materially brought about by Joe Rochefort’s cryptology breakthrough has to qualify as a leading candidate. So, Rochefort was recognized, rewarded, promoted, right?

Unfortunately, no. Apparently, Rochefort didn’t suffer fools gladly, and had several encounters with one on a previous assignment aboard the battleship Pennsylvania. This particular fool ended up on Ernest King’s (then Commander in Chief of the Navy) staff. This person disliked Rochefort personally, and strongly advised against him receiving any recognition for his work. Keep in mind that Rochefort had just contributed mightily to changing the course of the Pacific War and, by extension, the future of Western Civilization. No matter. He had made an enemy, and this enemy would have his revenge. Rochefort ended up receiving the Legion of Merit, Navy Distinguished Service Medal, the Presidential Medal of Freedom, and was inducted into the National Security Agency’s Central Security Service Hall of Fame; however, only the Legion of Merit was awarded to him while he was alive. All of the other awards where given posthumously.

I think any manager, but especially Project Managers, need to keep in mind that, in those instances where you have achieved notable success, anybody within your organization who had opposed you, your ideas, or the scope you pursued stands to lose status as their opposition is revealed to be misguided at best, and treacherous at worst. And, if they fall under Category D above, you know they are perfectly capable of using calumny or slander to mitigate the damage to their status via throwing shade on your accomplishments.

Have you experienced a high-profile success recently? Good for you.

Now watch your back.

Posted on: January 01, 2018 07:00 PM | Permalink

Comments (7)

Please login or join to subscribe to this item
This happened to me back in the Y2K program for a major Australian retailer I was contracted to for 1.5 years. The head infrastructure project manager (full-time) had a lot of his "power" taken away by the fact I was there planning and implementing an upgrade of hardware/software for 5000 computers, and had the mandate to basically override him at given stages during the program. Y2K ended up being a fizzer; nonetheless it was a successful program. Following this, when I was asked to join the retailer full-time, the infrastructure project manger was now back in charge of user systems and staff hiring for his department (and to whom I would have been working under) made sure I was blocked. I can only put it down to the fact he didn't want to hire the guy that was king for a day (well 1.5 years) and who might cast a shadow again in the future.

Not everyone is happy with your project success, especially those who had opposed the idea of doing the particular project or a person whose project could not be selected and your's was and could not get a reward which you or your team got by having success and there can be some other personal or professional reasons. I believe not only PMs face such situations but it can be among team members too.
Thank you Michael for sharing a fact of project management everyone has to face in one way or other.

Very Interesting ....

In my project, have come across many people under category D, and I clearly understanding what your talking about. Very informative and thanks for posting.

Interesting...

Thanks for sharing

Thanks for posting.

Please Login/Register to leave a comment.

ADVERTISEMENTS

"Comedy is tragedy - plus time."

- Carol Burnett