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Topics: Career Development, Change Management, Strategy
What will happen within 3 years in the project management profession?
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It is anticipated that within 3 years, activities such as schedule creation, budgeting, and any updates to the project made by artificial intelligence
What is your opinion?
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I think it is reasonable to assume that over time, administrative PM activities will become more and more automated, but I'm not sure that three years is sufficient time to have them being entirely performed that way.

I'd expect we will continue to see much of what we've seen over the past few years:

1. Continuing emphasis on adaptive lifecycles as project complexity continues to increase
2. Growing emphasis on sustainability
3. Increased impacts of technology on virtual teaming and on rote administrative activities

Kiron
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1 reply by Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 5:21 AM
Luis Branco
...
Dear Kiron
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
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I agree with Kiron.

And to the point of within 3 years (I've also heard within 5 years):

This is another one of those predictions that exaggerates the rate of being able to absorb a systemic change. It is likely to happen -- but in 36 months? To me, such statements are hyperbole.
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1 reply by Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 5:22 AM
Luis Branco
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Dear James
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
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I agree with James and Kiron, I consider that 3 years is a somewhat exaggerated opinion. Changes of this level imply cultural changes that may take decades, especially since some uses of AI involve delegating key decisions at the algorithm's discretion. In my opinion, perhaps in 2 or 3 years AI will be used for these purposes in specific cases, and little by little it will be adapting and perfecting the technology, so that in 10 years it may be usual in any field of PM
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1 reply by Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 5:22 AM
Luis Branco
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Dear Gabriel
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
Network:367



In a rather interesting workshop I attended on helping people deal with drastic change, we were told that some study showed that there are 3 basic personality types when it comes to accepting major changes:

- Those who are motivated by competency accept the change when they are skilled in the new way
- Those who are motivated by community accept the change when those around it accept the change as well.
- Those who are motivated by results accept the change when they are getting adequate results even if they're not particularly competent and others around them are still uncomfortable.

The 1st 2 groups take about 2 years to fully accept changes; the 3rd takes 3 to 4 months.

If you want to know what will happen in 3 years, I would say look at the new things we're trying to adopt now, and some of them will start gaining more general acceptance.
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1 reply by Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 5:22 AM
Luis Branco
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Dear Keith
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
Network:108041



The only way you will see major AI inroads within three years would be through cloud-based solutions. Clouds have the advantage of concentrating complexity and distributing simplicity.

Most of my clients are very slow on the cloud solutions uptake. Legislation like the Patriot Act puts a damper on embracing clouds outside of their own firewalls.
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1 reply by Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 5:23 AM
Luis Branco
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Dear Stéphane
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
Network:8344



Hello Luis: In my opinion, I welcome AI stepping in to take over many time consuming tasks and helping avoid errors - I believe excellent project managers will continue to grow and develop their leadership skills making the PM role even more important over time and less and less confused with an administrative type role. We'll be able to spend more time on things like pace of change and queues filling up with incoming projects, complexity of projects, technology advancements and more. Many of us will also face increasing challenges with virtual teams who are also juggle multiple projects at a fast pace in multiple time zones. While some fear AI, I believe it will propel project management up a higher rung on the corporate ladder. Project success is largely due to strong collaborative relationships which no version of AI will ever replace.
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1 reply by Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 5:23 AM
Luis Branco
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Dear Lori
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
Network:225


Hi Luis,
The young new PM's and future PM's will have to embrace and learn how to code, specifically to what Lori is saying. It has taken 7 yrs in the architectural industry to finally see the benefits of a visual programming language called Dynamo.
AI should never replace any industry but it should enhance our services to the client.
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2 replies by Aseem Shandilya and Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 4:34 AM
Aseem Shandilya
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Hi Douglas,
Can you elaborate some more? When you say PMs will have to learn how to code, what change do you see in a PMs job description?
Oct 30, 2019 5:24 AM
Luis Branco
...
Dear Douglas
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
Network:613



Sep 26, 2019 12:36 AM
Replying to Douglas Bonilla
...
Hi Luis,
The young new PM's and future PM's will have to embrace and learn how to code, specifically to what Lori is saying. It has taken 7 yrs in the architectural industry to finally see the benefits of a visual programming language called Dynamo.
AI should never replace any industry but it should enhance our services to the client.
Hi Douglas,
Can you elaborate some more? When you say PMs will have to learn how to code, what change do you see in a PMs job description?
...
1 reply by Luis Branco
Oct 30, 2019 5:25 AM
Luis Branco
...
Dear Kiron
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your question..
Network:3186



Sep 17, 2019 11:20 AM
Replying to Kiron Bondale
...
I think it is reasonable to assume that over time, administrative PM activities will become more and more automated, but I'm not sure that three years is sufficient time to have them being entirely performed that way.

I'd expect we will continue to see much of what we've seen over the past few years:

1. Continuing emphasis on adaptive lifecycles as project complexity continues to increase
2. Growing emphasis on sustainability
3. Increased impacts of technology on virtual teaming and on rote administrative activities

Kiron
Dear Kiron
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
Network:3186



Sep 17, 2019 11:45 AM
Replying to James Shields
...
I agree with Kiron.

And to the point of within 3 years (I've also heard within 5 years):

This is another one of those predictions that exaggerates the rate of being able to absorb a systemic change. It is likely to happen -- but in 36 months? To me, such statements are hyperbole.
Dear James
Thank you for participating in this reflection and for sharing your opinion.
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