I think it is reasonable to assume that over time, administrative PM activities will become more and more automated, but I'm not sure that three years is sufficient time to have them being entirely performed that way.
I'd expect we will continue to see much of what we've seen over the past few years:
1. Continuing emphasis on adaptive lifecycles as project complexity continues to increase
2. Growing emphasis on sustainability
3. Increased impacts of technology on virtual teaming and on rote administrative activities
And to the point of within 3 years (I've also heard within 5 years):
This is another one of those predictions that exaggerates the rate of being able to absorb a systemic change. It is likely to happen -- but in 36 months? To me, such statements are hyperbole. Saving Changes...
I agree with James and Kiron, I consider that 3 years is a somewhat exaggerated opinion. Changes of this level imply cultural changes that may take decades, especially since some uses of AI involve delegating key decisions at the algorithm's discretion. In my opinion, perhaps in 2 or 3 years AI will be used for these purposes in specific cases, and little by little it will be adapting and perfecting the technology, so that in 10 years it may be usual in any field of PM Saving Changes...
In a rather interesting workshop I attended on helping people deal with drastic change, we were told that some study showed that there are 3 basic personality types when it comes to accepting major changes:
- Those who are motivated by competency accept the change when they are skilled in the new way
- Those who are motivated by community accept the change when those around it accept the change as well.
- Those who are motivated by results accept the change when they are getting adequate results even if they're not particularly competent and others around them are still uncomfortable.
The 1st 2 groups take about 2 years to fully accept changes; the 3rd takes 3 to 4 months.
If you want to know what will happen in 3 years, I would say look at the new things we're trying to adopt now, and some of them will start gaining more general acceptance. Saving Changes...
Hello Luis: In my opinion, I welcome AI stepping in to take over many time consuming tasks and helping avoid errors - I believe excellent project managers will continue to grow and develop their leadership skills making the PM role even more important over time and less and less confused with an administrative type role. We'll be able to spend more time on things like pace of change and queues filling up with incoming projects, complexity of projects, technology advancements and more. Many of us will also face increasing challenges with virtual teams who are also juggle multiple projects at a fast pace in multiple time zones. While some fear AI, I believe it will propel project management up a higher rung on the corporate ladder. Project success is largely due to strong collaborative relationships which no version of AI will ever replace. Saving Changes...
The young new PM's and future PM's will have to embrace and learn how to code, specifically to what Lori is saying. It has taken 7 yrs in the architectural industry to finally see the benefits of a visual programming language called Dynamo.
AI should never replace any industry but it should enhance our services to the client. Saving Changes...