Project Management

Risk Realism

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When it comes to risk management, pessimism and optimism have their roles, but it's best to aim for realism. Here are five steps.

 
Winston Churchill once said “A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” In managing project risks, a pessimist might be too risk-averse and overprotective, while an optimist might look for the upside in every uncertainty, and take on too much risk exposure.
 
“We need a proper balance between both perspectives, allowing trade-offs between threats and opportunities, in order to give us the best possible chance of achieving our goals,” says risk management consultant David Hillson, PMP. “In place of pessimism or optimism, we need to aim for realism.” He recommends the following steps to ensure realism in our approach to managing risk:
 
> Value different perspectives. Encourage and use input from both pessimists and optimists. We need to listen to people who warn us about what might go wrong, as they may have seen something that we have missed. We should also allow people to explore possible upsides that could result in unplanned gains.
 
> Include peer challenge in the risk process. The role of devil’s advocate can be very useful in testing established attitudes to risk. Give someone the role of asking naï…

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