Project Management

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Do you use the Monte Carlo experiments to help you with project management?

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Mark Steward Director| Arrow Zee Australia Sydney, Nsw, Australia
If so do you use it via an application that has this feature built in or do you build your own models using Excel? Also, what are you using this for and how frequently do you use? I have posted a poll on this get an idea of how many people might use it and how often.

I am trying to get an understanding of people awareness and use of Monte Carlo methods. I have created and used experiments for estimating, which I have found helpful.

Any insights into how people have used this, issues and benefits would be greatly appreciated.
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Deepesh Rammoorthy ICT Project Manager ( PMP®AgilePM®Certified ScrumMaster® (CSM®))| Australian Red Cross Blood Service Tarneit, Vic, Australia
Apart from coming across it in the preparation materials for PMP exam, I have never come across a practical application for this. Would be interested in knowing how it is used.
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RAJESH K L Project Manager, PMP| Bharat Electronics, Bengaluru, India Bengaluru, Karnataka, India
yes, I hv used Monte carlo simulation for estimating the effort for subprocesses in SDLC.
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Kiron Bondale Retired | Mentor| Retired Welland, Ontario, Canada
Mark -

There was a good article I'd read a year or so back which challenged the use of MC in project contexts as no two projects are the same and you only execute a given project once.

Having said that, I have used an estimating tool (QSM) a long time ago which leveraged MC as part of its model.

Kiron
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1 reply by Mark Steward
Jan 16, 2019 6:28 PM
Mark Steward
...
Thanks, Kiron

Given the uniqueness of projects and/or experiments, I found I have to build/modify the Excel model to suit each case, which makes it very time consuming, and therefore limits its practicality.
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Abolfazl Yousefi Darestani Manager, Quality and Continuous Improvement| Hörmann-TNR Industrial Doors Newmarket, Ontario, Canada
It may be used for project management. But there are other estimation tools as well.
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Mark Steward Director| Arrow Zee Australia Sydney, Nsw, Australia
Jan 16, 2019 7:49 AM
Replying to Kiron Bondale
...
Mark -

There was a good article I'd read a year or so back which challenged the use of MC in project contexts as no two projects are the same and you only execute a given project once.

Having said that, I have used an estimating tool (QSM) a long time ago which leveraged MC as part of its model.

Kiron
Thanks, Kiron

Given the uniqueness of projects and/or experiments, I found I have to build/modify the Excel model to suit each case, which makes it very time consuming, and therefore limits its practicality.
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Mark Steward Director| Arrow Zee Australia Sydney, Nsw, Australia
Thanks for the comments,

FYI SEER by Galorath was an estimation tool that I had some exposure to, not so long ago, which used MC to determine the probability of schedule delivery based on the estimate.
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Vincent Guerard Coach - Trainer - Speaker - Advisor| Freelance Mont-Royal, Quebec, Canada
Mark,

I have use Monte-Carlo Simulation on many projects both fro proposal and during execution. Simulations were on the schedule and on the cost.
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Tamer Zeyad Sadiq Assistant Cost Manager| Turner & Townsend Riyadh, Ar Riyad, Saudi Arabia
In our side it's rarely used!!

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