Project Management

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AI and Project Management, are they destined for perfect harmony?

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Marcus Udokang Project Manager| Aivaz Consulting Calgary, Alberta, Canada
I recently read an article that said,

"By 2030, 80% of work of today in the project management discipline will be eliminated as AI takes on functions such as data collection, tracking and reporting". (Gartner: How AI Will Reinvent Program and Portfolio Management)

However, I read another article by Dell that said 85% of jobs that will exist in 2030 haven't been invented yet. Dell notes that this change in the future mode of work "will unleash novel opportunities for a diverse pool of truly global talent" where humans will not become a "non-entity". But, how does this affect the field of project management?

Would be great to hear your opinion on this topic. Do you think PM work will be eliminated by AI by 2030, or will the PM job transform into more critical and crucial responsibilities?
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Sergio Luis Conte Helping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based Organizations Buenos Aires, Argentina
As somebody which is working with AI from 1989, not only in the practical field in manufacturing and virtual realty for example, researching in simulate human consciousness and presenting papers in congress, let me say that AI becomes a new buzzword unfortunately and lot of people thinks it is something like you can see in films like "Terminator". By the way, we are surrounded of AI devices for example inside refrigerators from long time ago (everything is called "fuzzy logic inside"). But, returning to your point, AI will not replace human beings by definition of AI (people that worked with AI know about that) just will replace those activities which do not add value mainly those which are repetitive and always the same. For example, I created code in Python and R that I have attached to MS Project and helped me do not work repetitive activities based on information I keep from lot of past projects I lead in the past. In fact, few people know, that AI is using in repetitive and monotone activities and had saved the life or had saved the loss of body members thanks to do that type of activities. About jobs that haven“t been invented yet is not because the AI. Just think about it in terms of all the Covid-19 has impacted in the work world.
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2 replies by Marcus Udokang
Sep 29, 2020 2:42 AM
Marcus Udokang
...
Sergio, I agree that AI definitely is a new buzzword. Ah yes, fuzzy logic. I haven't heard that term used in a while. It's good to hear it again. Those repetitive tasks done by AI can save time and improve accuracy and efficiency in projects. The idea is that AI is not a threat to PM jobs, but a way to spend less time managing and more time doing those tasks that add true value to a business.

Covid-19 is a perfect example of almost instantly transforming the workforce, creating new types of jobs, making some jobs redundant, and changing future work. Circumstances of nature had a huge impact on the economy that could never have been realized.

Appreciate your feedback.
Sep 29, 2020 3:31 AM
Marcus Udokang
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I suppose the worse case scenario, is something like a Bionic Man, a Robo Cop like figure, half man half machine. Maybe this would be more efficient than a Terminator, lol.
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George Freeman Thought Leader | Author | Architect| Florida, United States
Marcus,

To add on to what Sergio stated, the term ā€œAIā€ has been hijacked and is used for marketing hyperbole, as it generates traffic anywhere it is mentioned. And that traffic, combined with hyperbolic messaging, sells books, magazines, products and inflates the stock of companies.

Everything that you hear about regarding AI at the best falls into the category of ā€œWeak AI.ā€ If companies wanted to be ā€œfully honest,ā€ then they would ONLY state the field they are operating in (e.g., machine learning, natural language processing, etc.) and drop the monetarily focused use of the AI term. But that is not going to happen, and we are on this train to its ultimate destination – the funding of an ā€œAI Bubble.ā€

--- End of my non-mindful commentary.

Now, regarding 80% of Project Management jobs being eliminated by so-called AI technology. If you are a PM by title only, and your only duty is to ā€œrelay communications,ā€ then yes, you might have reason to be concerned. But that is not the core of our profession, so I strongly see that statement as inaccurate.
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1 reply by Marcus Udokang
Sep 29, 2020 2:42 AM
Marcus Udokang
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George, hyperbole is a perfect word to describe this phenomenon.

Ah, natural language processing. I used to teach VoiceXML, which is used for voice response applications. It is something like natural language processing. That was in the early 2000s. VoiceXML is for sure a component of AI, and still very much in use today. If anything, the more VoiceXML projects have demanded more PMs to manage those projects.

I see the emphasis on soft skills, those other duties done by PMs, as being far more in demand in the future. Thus increasing the value and necessity for PMs in the workforce. Those soft skills will definitely not be replaced by AI in the near future.

Thanks for the feedback.
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Kwiyuh Michael Wepngong
Community Champion
Financial Management Specialist | US Peace Corps Yaounde, Centre, Cameroon
It's true that AI seems to create some fears for future human resources, but again if we check figures from the past and extrapolate into the future, then the 80% mark is seriously questionable
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1 reply by Marcus Udokang
Sep 29, 2020 2:42 AM
Marcus Udokang
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Kwiyuh, it's definitely questionable by many, including me.

Appreciate the feedback.
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Ashish Bharti Technician| American Electric Power Lynchburg, Va, United States
I do not believe that 80% of PM work will be eliminated by 2030 because of AI.

To add on to what Mr. Sergio & Mr. George have already mentioned, each project differs in complexity. By definition a project is a unique endeavour which means that every project will present challenges which have not been documented before.

Fundamentally, AI works by recognizing patterns in the historical data under consideration and then making a forecast. This implies that AI is great for repetitive tasks but may not be a threat to the entire profession of project management.

I'm not saying that things are not going to change, they will. But, aren't we as project managers supposed to adapt to the changing work environment. I would like to think of AI as another helpful tool to manage mega projects rather than as a threat.
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1 reply by Marcus Udokang
Sep 29, 2020 2:43 AM
Marcus Udokang
...
Ashish, these challenges are key to allowing PM jobs to survive, I believe. AI would not have that skill of being able to detect subtle nuances and make judgement calls in projects that humans can make.

Indeed, it is this data forecasting, predictive analytics, and real-time data insights, which AI can do. By allowing the data to be interpreted faster it gives project teams new insights and new trends to look at, and allows us to know where to focus, thereby increasing our potential for success. It is these changes that provide PMs the impetus to adapt to a changing environment. Therefore AI can be an effective tool to better manage projects.

Thanks for the feedback.
avatar
Thomas Walenta Global Project Economy Expert Hackenheim, Germany
Yes, AI has been around for decades, but like everything advances are accelerating.
We will have autonomous cars in a few years, we could also have autonomous projects?

Soon we will have
- implanted brain devices replacing phones
- network acess everywhere
- VR/AR increasing remote working effectivity
- real time translation
- AI empathy by emotions sensing
- human digital twins doing interviews

How all of this can help a PM to do a different job is up to imagination and experimentation. The PM job will change.
...
1 reply by Marcus Udokang
Sep 29, 2020 2:43 AM
Marcus Udokang
...
Thomas, yes those autonomous cars I have seen park themselves. I think BMW came out with a car like that not too long ago. Makes one wonder where we will be by 2030 when it comes to cars.

I've seen implanted ear devices. I don't know about AI empathy by emotions sensing. But maybe it will happen. I've seen interviews between a human and an android, but the questions to the android need to be scripted.

We can only hope that AI will bring better change outcomes and sustainable solutions for PMs. From the conversations on this discussion thread, I think AI will allow PMs to be in good hands with lots of demands for employment.

Appreciate the feedback.
avatar
Marcus Udokang Project Manager| Aivaz Consulting Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Sep 28, 2020 6:12 PM
Replying to Sergio Luis Conte
...
As somebody which is working with AI from 1989, not only in the practical field in manufacturing and virtual realty for example, researching in simulate human consciousness and presenting papers in congress, let me say that AI becomes a new buzzword unfortunately and lot of people thinks it is something like you can see in films like "Terminator". By the way, we are surrounded of AI devices for example inside refrigerators from long time ago (everything is called "fuzzy logic inside"). But, returning to your point, AI will not replace human beings by definition of AI (people that worked with AI know about that) just will replace those activities which do not add value mainly those which are repetitive and always the same. For example, I created code in Python and R that I have attached to MS Project and helped me do not work repetitive activities based on information I keep from lot of past projects I lead in the past. In fact, few people know, that AI is using in repetitive and monotone activities and had saved the life or had saved the loss of body members thanks to do that type of activities. About jobs that haven“t been invented yet is not because the AI. Just think about it in terms of all the Covid-19 has impacted in the work world.
Sergio, I agree that AI definitely is a new buzzword. Ah yes, fuzzy logic. I haven't heard that term used in a while. It's good to hear it again. Those repetitive tasks done by AI can save time and improve accuracy and efficiency in projects. The idea is that AI is not a threat to PM jobs, but a way to spend less time managing and more time doing those tasks that add true value to a business.

Covid-19 is a perfect example of almost instantly transforming the workforce, creating new types of jobs, making some jobs redundant, and changing future work. Circumstances of nature had a huge impact on the economy that could never have been realized.

Appreciate your feedback.
avatar
Marcus Udokang Project Manager| Aivaz Consulting Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Sep 28, 2020 6:50 PM
Replying to George Freeman
...
Marcus,

To add on to what Sergio stated, the term ā€œAIā€ has been hijacked and is used for marketing hyperbole, as it generates traffic anywhere it is mentioned. And that traffic, combined with hyperbolic messaging, sells books, magazines, products and inflates the stock of companies.

Everything that you hear about regarding AI at the best falls into the category of ā€œWeak AI.ā€ If companies wanted to be ā€œfully honest,ā€ then they would ONLY state the field they are operating in (e.g., machine learning, natural language processing, etc.) and drop the monetarily focused use of the AI term. But that is not going to happen, and we are on this train to its ultimate destination – the funding of an ā€œAI Bubble.ā€

--- End of my non-mindful commentary.

Now, regarding 80% of Project Management jobs being eliminated by so-called AI technology. If you are a PM by title only, and your only duty is to ā€œrelay communications,ā€ then yes, you might have reason to be concerned. But that is not the core of our profession, so I strongly see that statement as inaccurate.
George, hyperbole is a perfect word to describe this phenomenon.

Ah, natural language processing. I used to teach VoiceXML, which is used for voice response applications. It is something like natural language processing. That was in the early 2000s. VoiceXML is for sure a component of AI, and still very much in use today. If anything, the more VoiceXML projects have demanded more PMs to manage those projects.

I see the emphasis on soft skills, those other duties done by PMs, as being far more in demand in the future. Thus increasing the value and necessity for PMs in the workforce. Those soft skills will definitely not be replaced by AI in the near future.

Thanks for the feedback.
avatar
Marcus Udokang Project Manager| Aivaz Consulting Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Sep 29, 2020 12:20 AM
Replying to Kwiyuh Michael Wepngong
...
It's true that AI seems to create some fears for future human resources, but again if we check figures from the past and extrapolate into the future, then the 80% mark is seriously questionable
Kwiyuh, it's definitely questionable by many, including me.

Appreciate the feedback.
avatar
Marcus Udokang Project Manager| Aivaz Consulting Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Sep 29, 2020 1:25 AM
Replying to Ashish Bharti
...
I do not believe that 80% of PM work will be eliminated by 2030 because of AI.

To add on to what Mr. Sergio & Mr. George have already mentioned, each project differs in complexity. By definition a project is a unique endeavour which means that every project will present challenges which have not been documented before.

Fundamentally, AI works by recognizing patterns in the historical data under consideration and then making a forecast. This implies that AI is great for repetitive tasks but may not be a threat to the entire profession of project management.

I'm not saying that things are not going to change, they will. But, aren't we as project managers supposed to adapt to the changing work environment. I would like to think of AI as another helpful tool to manage mega projects rather than as a threat.
Ashish, these challenges are key to allowing PM jobs to survive, I believe. AI would not have that skill of being able to detect subtle nuances and make judgement calls in projects that humans can make.

Indeed, it is this data forecasting, predictive analytics, and real-time data insights, which AI can do. By allowing the data to be interpreted faster it gives project teams new insights and new trends to look at, and allows us to know where to focus, thereby increasing our potential for success. It is these changes that provide PMs the impetus to adapt to a changing environment. Therefore AI can be an effective tool to better manage projects.

Thanks for the feedback.
avatar
Marcus Udokang Project Manager| Aivaz Consulting Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Sep 29, 2020 1:48 AM
Replying to Thomas Walenta
...
Yes, AI has been around for decades, but like everything advances are accelerating.
We will have autonomous cars in a few years, we could also have autonomous projects?

Soon we will have
- implanted brain devices replacing phones
- network acess everywhere
- VR/AR increasing remote working effectivity
- real time translation
- AI empathy by emotions sensing
- human digital twins doing interviews

How all of this can help a PM to do a different job is up to imagination and experimentation. The PM job will change.
Thomas, yes those autonomous cars I have seen park themselves. I think BMW came out with a car like that not too long ago. Makes one wonder where we will be by 2030 when it comes to cars.

I've seen implanted ear devices. I don't know about AI empathy by emotions sensing. But maybe it will happen. I've seen interviews between a human and an android, but the questions to the android need to be scripted.

We can only hope that AI will bring better change outcomes and sustainable solutions for PMs. From the conversations on this discussion thread, I think AI will allow PMs to be in good hands with lots of demands for employment.

Appreciate the feedback.
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