Who are those excellent visionary Project Managers who anticipated that there would be a fatal medical virus named COVID (I MUST be sure that it is not understood as a computer virus)?
Prolay ChaudhuryPractice Lead & Lead Solution Architect| Chaudhury, Inc.Bangalore, Karnataka, India
Who are those excellent visionary Project Managers who anticipated that there would be a fatal medical virus named COVID (I MUST be sure that it is not understood as a computer virus) that will eat up humanity? Not only that, they already had the risk mitigation plans in their Project Management arsenal!!!
For the last two years, I wonder if there must be some project managers scattered around the world who envisioned that the COVID would soon be destroying the economy. They created the risk mitigation plans for their respective projects!! Saving Changes...
Peter RapinSubject Matter Expect; Project Delivery| Independent ConsultantOntario, Canada
I'm sure that this recent experience will result in adding "pandemic" to the list of possible risk events. Mitigating measures - go into hibernation for 24 months.
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1 reply by Prolay Chaudhury
Sep 05, 2021 1:17 AM
Prolay Chaudhury
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Peter, I am sorry to say that Project Risk Management becomes a joke in this volatile and uncertain world situation. So people who are bragging about their PMP certifications also becoming jokers!!!
The world hasn't seen such a Pandemic. And this is the beginning only!!!
Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Sure. Some people forgot SARS or other similar virus than Covid with impacted in regions like South America. The point is not project view. The point is organization must be prepare for react to any type of unplanned and unexpected event. I am working in a company that work on that from 10 years ago by starting the journey to agile transformation, real agile transformation. Saving Changes...
Prolay ChaudhuryPractice Lead & Lead Solution Architect| Chaudhury, Inc.Bangalore, Karnataka, India
Sep 03, 2021 7:30 PM
Replying to Peter Rapin
...
I'm sure that this recent experience will result in adding "pandemic" to the list of possible risk events. Mitigating measures - go into hibernation for 24 months.
Peter, I am sorry to say that Project Risk Management becomes a joke in this volatile and uncertain world situation. So people who are bragging about their PMP certifications also becoming jokers!!!
The world hasn't seen such a Pandemic. And this is the beginning only!!!
...
1 reply by George Freeman
Sep 08, 2021 10:10 PM
George Freeman
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Prolay,
An individual “should be” proud when they obtain a PMP certification – period. At the same time, having credentials in a given field does not necessarily make you an expert in that field. In like manner, an expert in a given field may not hold any certifications at all.
To say that an individual “becomes a joker” because they brag about their accomplishment (e.g., a PMP certification) because of the purported relationship you have drawn between “project risk management” and a “volatile and uncertain world,” is an unreasonable statement, even when made in hyperbole.
If you have a concern with a principle associated with project management, then you should raise that question and simply drop the unnecessary interpersonal commentary.
Saving Changes...
Peter RapinSubject Matter Expect; Project Delivery| Independent ConsultantOntario, Canada
I beg to differ with you last sentence. Do not forget the Black Death or Plague of the 1300s responsible for the death of up to 200 million people. Nor can we ignore two world wars. Will it happen again? - yes. Can we plan for it - not at the project level possibly but at government levels - yes. Is this the beginning? - no. Its just a continuation of life.
This does not mean that project management is pointless as we still have to deliver projects as effectively as possible. This does not mean that risk management is useless at the micro or macro levels - that is how we avoid many downfalls be it at the project level or governmental levels. It means we need to do better.
Do we stop trying because life is complicated and sometimes we fail? Do we stop living because we know someday we will dye?
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3 replies by Prolay Chaudhury and Sergio Luis Conte
Sep 05, 2021 2:17 PM
Sergio Luis Conte
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Great points @Peter. In my country we said "no hay peor ciego que el que no quiere ver" which I think is something like "There's no one more blind than he who refuses to see" or "The eyes are useless when the mind is blind". Evidences outside there a lot. Mainly in South America but sometimes it is not taken into account for people in other regions. For example, Dengue is more dangerous and lethal than Covid-19. The key thing here is, just to put it in terms of a new buzzword, in times where lot of people talk about Agile, this type of thing demonstrate in the field if agile is applied or not. So, is not a matter of project management. Is a matter of strategy. If that was not taken into account then, like other phrase said, "cry as a woman what you did not know how to defend as a man" referring to lament with the sensitivity of a woman, which is much higher than man, which was not able to anticipate, no matter the existing information
Sep 06, 2021 12:55 PM
Prolay Chaudhury
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I beg to differ from you, Peter! The world has not seen something similar to COVID-19. No matter what you say or what example of diseases you refer to here but COVID-19 is what the world has never seen.
I never said that we would stop living because we know that death is the ultimate destination. My point is here that Risk Management.
In so many seminars are happening over PM theories. When WHO failed to do the risk mitigation. So let us stop bragging about Project Management onwards.
As I said, this is the beginning! We MUST understand that the limitation of Project Management and Risk Management. We cannot always predict factors, no matter how intelligent or visionary we are. That is called uncertainty and unknown.
The best thing we can do is to apply the defensive strategy of the war situation. When we cannot progress, we must defend our existing progress.
Sep 06, 2021 12:58 PM
Prolay Chaudhury
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Please tell the same to the world leaders. "cry as a woman what you did not know how to defend as a man". I do not fall into this category.
I simply put it as that Project Management theory is totally failed to deal with the COVID-19 like uncertainty.
Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Sep 05, 2021 12:14 PM
Replying to Peter Rapin
...
I beg to differ with you last sentence. Do not forget the Black Death or Plague of the 1300s responsible for the death of up to 200 million people. Nor can we ignore two world wars. Will it happen again? - yes. Can we plan for it - not at the project level possibly but at government levels - yes. Is this the beginning? - no. Its just a continuation of life.
This does not mean that project management is pointless as we still have to deliver projects as effectively as possible. This does not mean that risk management is useless at the micro or macro levels - that is how we avoid many downfalls be it at the project level or governmental levels. It means we need to do better.
Do we stop trying because life is complicated and sometimes we fail? Do we stop living because we know someday we will dye?
Great points @Peter. In my country we said "no hay peor ciego que el que no quiere ver" which I think is something like "There's no one more blind than he who refuses to see" or "The eyes are useless when the mind is blind". Evidences outside there a lot. Mainly in South America but sometimes it is not taken into account for people in other regions. For example, Dengue is more dangerous and lethal than Covid-19. The key thing here is, just to put it in terms of a new buzzword, in times where lot of people talk about Agile, this type of thing demonstrate in the field if agile is applied or not. So, is not a matter of project management. Is a matter of strategy. If that was not taken into account then, like other phrase said, "cry as a woman what you did not know how to defend as a man" referring to lament with the sensitivity of a woman, which is much higher than man, which was not able to anticipate, no matter the existing information Saving Changes...
Prolay ChaudhuryPractice Lead & Lead Solution Architect| Chaudhury, Inc.Bangalore, Karnataka, India
Sep 05, 2021 12:14 PM
Replying to Peter Rapin
...
I beg to differ with you last sentence. Do not forget the Black Death or Plague of the 1300s responsible for the death of up to 200 million people. Nor can we ignore two world wars. Will it happen again? - yes. Can we plan for it - not at the project level possibly but at government levels - yes. Is this the beginning? - no. Its just a continuation of life.
This does not mean that project management is pointless as we still have to deliver projects as effectively as possible. This does not mean that risk management is useless at the micro or macro levels - that is how we avoid many downfalls be it at the project level or governmental levels. It means we need to do better.
Do we stop trying because life is complicated and sometimes we fail? Do we stop living because we know someday we will dye?
I beg to differ from you, Peter! The world has not seen something similar to COVID-19. No matter what you say or what example of diseases you refer to here but COVID-19 is what the world has never seen.
I never said that we would stop living because we know that death is the ultimate destination. My point is here that Risk Management.
In so many seminars are happening over PM theories. When WHO failed to do the risk mitigation. So let us stop bragging about Project Management onwards.
As I said, this is the beginning! We MUST understand that the limitation of Project Management and Risk Management. We cannot always predict factors, no matter how intelligent or visionary we are. That is called uncertainty and unknown.
The best thing we can do is to apply the defensive strategy of the war situation. When we cannot progress, we must defend our existing progress. Saving Changes...
Prolay ChaudhuryPractice Lead & Lead Solution Architect| Chaudhury, Inc.Bangalore, Karnataka, India
Sep 05, 2021 12:14 PM
Replying to Peter Rapin
...
I beg to differ with you last sentence. Do not forget the Black Death or Plague of the 1300s responsible for the death of up to 200 million people. Nor can we ignore two world wars. Will it happen again? - yes. Can we plan for it - not at the project level possibly but at government levels - yes. Is this the beginning? - no. Its just a continuation of life.
This does not mean that project management is pointless as we still have to deliver projects as effectively as possible. This does not mean that risk management is useless at the micro or macro levels - that is how we avoid many downfalls be it at the project level or governmental levels. It means we need to do better.
Do we stop trying because life is complicated and sometimes we fail? Do we stop living because we know someday we will dye?
Please tell the same to the world leaders. "cry as a woman what you did not know how to defend as a man". I do not fall into this category.
I simply put it as that Project Management theory is totally failed to deal with the COVID-19 like uncertainty.
...
1 reply by George Freeman
Sep 08, 2021 10:08 PM
George Freeman
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Prolay,
I would agree with you that “Project Management theory has totally failed to deal with COVID-19...,” if there was a project management organization/structure in-place and in-charge of pandemic outbreaks and mitigation at global and national levels and, they failed to meet their objectives.
My nonsensical statement is purposed to point out that I’m confused with why you are placing COVID-19 accountability at the foot of “project management” when there is no correlative relationship.
It may be helpful for you to explain your dismay with project management minus the metaphor of COVID-19.
I would disagree that PM theory failed to deal with major catastrophic risks. It is not intended to address every rare existential risk. The scope of influence of the individual PM is limited. We are not each responsible for extensive risk mitigation planning for every global crisis.
Pandemics, natural disasters, major sociopolitical upheavals, and other "planet killer" type risks are rare, and the circumstances following the major event are extremely unpredictable. Major government agencies and think tanks may dedicate themselves to addressing such occurrences, but if every individual project had a game plan for every potential outcome for each extreme risk, many projects would not be viable due to the cost of the risk planning required for numerous extreme impact risks with a likelihood near zero.
In the aftermath of these events, the underlying rationale for why a project is launched may not even apply any more so many projects are simply canceled. I managed an entire portfolio of cost improvement projects that were paused indefinitely due to radical market changes fro COVID. Since “no plan survives contact with the enemy”, the risk handling plan is often to accept, rather than mitigate.
Following such an event however, PM theory becomes very relevant. Major agencies deployed their contingency plans where such agencies existed. Companies re-tooled to produce masks, vaccines, partitions, and other mitigation approaches. Supply chain disruptions were addressed. Many measures had to be established to regain at least partial operations, under uncertain conditions. That all involves PM, even if not all formally documented like a purely predictive project.
There is less cost-benefit analysis and other optimization efforts when PM turns to crisis management, but the principles of scoping the problem, defining a solution, developing the plans, and execution with feedback and control all take on a heightened urgency. Saving Changes...
Thomas WalentaGlobal Project Economy ExpertHackenheim, Germany
And WHO and other country-based organizations had scenarios and plans in the drawer.
Just because one generation of humans has not experienced a disaster it is not that it does not repeat in history. Human society memory can be shorter than 50 years. Or we see rites and stories embedded in the culture (like the big flood of 1362 which still drives coastal protection in Germany, even the tsunami in Fukushima happened 100 years before).
So, project management is best applicable to repeatable situations, as is risk management. If we move pandemics to a place where we are aware of them, both managements are perfect tools to handle them.
Thomas
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2 replies by Prolay Chaudhury and Thomas Walenta
Sep 08, 2021 3:12 AM
Prolay Chaudhury
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With all due respect, Thomas, we have to conclude that whatever stories all the movie industries are visualizing or narrating are actually going to happen in real life?
So we conclude that we have to take the movie industry, not as entertainment. Instead, we have to take them seriously, and the narrated stories are just warnings of what will happen in the future?
Strange???
WHO has totally failed to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Here is the article I would love to bring to your kind notice.
My intentions to start this conversation were to make sure that the Project Risk Management must consider all the outliers scenarios outlined by Keith Nova.
Sep 08, 2021 5:18 AM
Thomas Walenta
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The question posed by a extreme right politician including her biased assumptions is evidence for you?
As I said, WHO and others, as well as many scientists, anticipated such a pandemic and prepared plans to tackle it, many governments underfunded or even neglected the plans (like the US). The films are mostly based on scenarios like these.
Saving Changes...
Prolay ChaudhuryPractice Lead & Lead Solution Architect| Chaudhury, Inc.Bangalore, Karnataka, India
And WHO and other country-based organizations had scenarios and plans in the drawer.
Just because one generation of humans has not experienced a disaster it is not that it does not repeat in history. Human society memory can be shorter than 50 years. Or we see rites and stories embedded in the culture (like the big flood of 1362 which still drives coastal protection in Germany, even the tsunami in Fukushima happened 100 years before).
So, project management is best applicable to repeatable situations, as is risk management. If we move pandemics to a place where we are aware of them, both managements are perfect tools to handle them.
Thomas
With all due respect, Thomas, we have to conclude that whatever stories all the movie industries are visualizing or narrating are actually going to happen in real life?
So we conclude that we have to take the movie industry, not as entertainment. Instead, we have to take them seriously, and the narrated stories are just warnings of what will happen in the future?
Strange???
WHO has totally failed to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Here is the article I would love to bring to your kind notice.
My intentions to start this conversation were to make sure that the Project Risk Management must consider all the outliers scenarios outlined by Keith Nova.
...
1 reply by Keith Novak
Sep 09, 2021 3:20 PM
Keith Novak
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I would argue that the premise that PM failed in general is predicated on the faulty premise that PM is intended to mitigate all conceivable risks. Projects have a defined scope. The risk tolerance of the stakeholders often deem global pandemics, coup d'é·tats, and other such risks outside the approved scope of individual project teams, and even many major government organizations.
PMs and organizations in general depend on division of labor, as have societies for thousands of years. Every individual does not address every need of the larger group. Small organizations may defer responsibility for major catastrophes to specially chartered organizations. International agencies may provide recommendations, but do not have governing authority over all global stakeholders.
On national and global scales, major stakeholders have different opinions on the appropriate response. Some countries opted to allow COVID to run its course without intervention, while others took extraordinary measures. In many countries there is still significant disagreement on how much intervention is appropriate.
PM is not intended to bring all nations and factions into agreement, ensure world peace, or bring planets into alignment. It plays many parts in larger initiatives, but we are not intended to possess supernatural powers and universal authority.