Project Management

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Knowledge of Foresight

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Giovanni Garassino Laigueglia, Italy
Hello everyone, I'm doing research on the diffusion of Foresight processes and I would like to ask you some questions.

Do you believe that the use of Foresight can improve the resilience of project or the antifragility of projects? 

Can you provide an example of how Foresight has helped improve resilience or antifragility in one of your projects?

How widespread do you think the concept of Foresight is among your colleagues and stakeholders?
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Kiron Bondale Retired | Mentor| Retired Welland, Ontario, Canada
Giovanni -

For me, Foresight is very similar to what we do with risk management - try to envision uncertain events in the future and take steps to address them.

Kiron
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Aaron Porter
Community Champion
IT Director| Blade HQ Payson, UT, United States
I agree with Kiron Bondale and would elaborate on his point by calling out that risk management (RM) should include opportunity management. There are some differences between RM and foresight, however. We often look to the past, in RM, to estimate what might happen in the future and the impact it might have on project objectives/schedule/cost, but we don't typically place a lot of emphasis on identifying signals or developing project-specific forecasts, although we might rely on forecasts others have created.

In my experience, if/when my stakeholders are thinking about RM, they are often very siloed in their thinking. Not to turn this into a GenAI conversation, but this is probably the one area where I find GenAI most useful on my projects. There often seems to be one person who is vocal about all the scenarios where things can go wrong, which is appreciated when we're talking about risks, but I've also had projects where nobody wanted to talk about it.
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Thomas Walenta Global Project Economy Expert Hackenheim, Germany
I do not know if I agree or not.
If you use Foresight, Forecasting, Scenario planning, etc., you invest in something you might not use in the future.
If you invest in your wisdom and capabilities, you improve your options for any moment, increasing your resilience and opening up to perspectives you need to be antifragile.
On the other hand, firefighters would not be successful without practicing about potential scenarios. And yet, they say every situation is unique.

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