Project Management

Please login or join to subscribe to this thread

How would you solve a unrealistic price escalation problem?

linkedin twitter facebook   Construction   PMO   Risk Management  
avatar
Nedim Karabulut Technical Office Manager| YAPIRAY Railway Construction Systems Industry and Trade Inc. Istanbul, Türkiye
A project with Fidic Contract (red, 1999) has price adjustment which tend to go minus due to the reason of wrongly chosen coefficients and unrealistic statistics from the Country's official Statistical agency. How would you defend yourself contractually and change the coefficient or totally eliminate the price adjustment clause? 
Sort By:
avatar
Pavan Maddi
Community Champion
Buona Vista, Singapore
That’s a tough but common challenge in long-term contracts, Nedim. I’d start by gathering data to prove the inaccuracy of the applied indices and their impact on project cost. Then, formally raise a Claim or Variation Request citing Clause 13 (Variations and Adjustments) of FIDIC Red Book, supported by evidence and expert analysis.

If mutual agreement isn’t reached, propose a contract amendment or re-baselining using more realistic indices—framed as a fairness and sustainability measure, not just cost recovery.
avatar
Lissette Indhira Pimentel Sosa
Community Champion
Program Manager| HARPER SRL Santo Domingo / Distrito Nacional, Dominican Republic
In this case, I’d focus on contractual fairness and data transparency. Under FIDIC Red Book 1999, as Pavan mentioned in the Clause 13, you can reference Sub-Clause 13.8 (Adjustments for Changes in Cost) to justify a review if the applied indices or coefficients no longer reflect actual market conditions.
Present comparative evidence from credible local or international cost data to demonstrate that the adjustment formula produces unrealistic results, and request a mutual agreement for coefficient revision to restore the contract’s economic balance. Eliminating the clause entirely could be risky, but revising it based on factual distortion is a defensible and collaborative path.
avatar
Luis Branco CEO| Business Insight, Consultores de Gestão, Ldª Carcavelos, Lisboa, Portugal

This is a classic example of how mechanical formulas can break ethical coherence when they no longer reflect economic reality.

Under FIDIC Red Book (1999), the price adjustment clause (Sub-Clause 13.8) is meant to preserve fairness between parties, not to create distortion or loss due to unrealistic indices or coefficients.

If the coefficients were incorrectly chosen or the official indices became unrepresentative, you can act on two levels:

Contractual Level - Rebalancing the Mechanism

  • Use Sub-Clause 13.7 (Adjustments for Changes in Legislation) or the Variation and Value Engineering mechanism to show that the statistical base has become objectively unreliable.
  • Present a factual case (economic deviation analysis) proving that the formula no longer reflects actual cost evolution.
  • Propose, by mutual agreement, an equitable adjustment of coefficients under Clause 3.5 (Determinations), ensuring the Engineer’s neutrality.

Ethical & Governance Level - Restoring Intent

  • The purpose of the clause is economic equilibrium, not mechanical rigidity.
  • If applying a flawed formula violates fairness, the parties should seek a good-faith correction, as allowed under FIDIC’s core principles and civil law doctrines (e.g., Rebus Sic Stantibus).

In short:

Don’t fight the formula, restore the fairness it was meant to protect.

avatar
Alaa Alnafori
Community Champion
Imam Abdulrahman bin Fasil university
Nedim , If a FIDIC Red Book (1999) project faces unrealistic or negative price adjustments due to wrong coefficients or unreliable official indices, I would act under Sub-Clause 20.1 to formally notify the Engineer that the formula no longer reflects actual cost trends.
My defense would focus on the principle of fairness and intent under Sub-Clause 3.5, showing that the clause’s purpose—to reflect real cost variation—is being defeated. I’d propose revising the coefficients or replacing the indices by mutual agreement, or, if necessary, request to suspend or remove the clause through a fair determination or DAB process.
avatar
Sergio Luis Conte Helping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based Organizations Buenos Aires, Argentina
I am not a sales man but I was incolved in this type of things supporting them. I can write a lot but take a look to Barry Bohem´s Cone of Uncertainty.
avatar
DENNIS WACHIRA Construction Project Officer| Amref Health Africa Nairobi, 30, Kenya
by reviewing the cost drivers, validating market rates, engaging stakeholders for justification, and negotiating a fair, data-backed adjustment aligned with contract terms.

Please login or join to reply

Content ID:
ADVERTISEMENTS

"The radical of one century is the conservative of the next. The radical invents the views. When he has worn them out, the conservative adopts them."

- Mark Twain

ADVERTISEMENT

Sponsors