Great question, and a common confusion in project and investment governance.
NPV is a forecasting tool used at Year 0 to decide whether to invest.
After the project ends, you assess value through realized value, not predictive value.
There are two mature approaches:
Ex-Post Financial Value
You can still calculate a realized NPV by discounting the actual cash flows back to the original baseline date.
Finance teams do this routinely to compare forecasts vs real outcomes.
Alternatively, ROI, IRR, and payback based on actuals give a clear picture of realized value.
Benefits Realization
Beyond pure finance, PMOs assess whether the strategic, operational, and capability benefits expected at Year 0 were actually delivered.
In short: NPV tells you whether to start; realized benefits tell you whether it was worth it.
Both matter, one for prediction, the other for learning and governance.