Project Management

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After project completion, how to know if worth It?

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Pedro Soares Brazil

Hello everyone,

I know how to assess if a project is worth pursuing. Basically, if the Net Present Value (NPV) derived from the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) of the future cash flows is positive, the project is worth the investment. Beacause this is how I know if I'll be creating value with this project.

So, in an example where the project involves a 5-year contract, I estimate cash flows for 5 years and discount them to the present value (PV). If NPV is positive, I know I created value.

However, this is just an estimate, with no real numbers. It is only once the project takes off and finally reaches completion that I'll actually know how much investment was necessary, how much revenue it generated, and, ultimately, how much cash flow generated. Then I'll know if I got the estimated value right.

But how should I know if value was actually created after the project ends? I will only have the real data after five years from the project's inception. And I can no longer calculate an NPV/DCF, because I'm in year 5, not 0. The DCF analysis is to assess if the project makes sense happens at Year 0, by calculating how much value was created. At the end of the project, at Year 5, that I actually will know if the project was truly worth it, with real project number, as is. But how to know if I create value with the real numbers? I only can assess this with DCF projection, looking to the future, but not looking back.

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Pavan Maddi
Community Champion
Buona Vista, Singapore
To know if a completed project was truly worth it, compare the original business case with the actual results. Use an ex post analysis called realised value review. Instead of forecasting, you compare actual cash flows, cost savings, and benefits against the planned NPV. If actual benefits exceeded the original assumptions, value was created. Even without new DCF, the gap between planned and actual tells the full story.
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Luis Branco CEO| Business Insight, Consultores de Gestão, Ldª Carcavelos, Lisboa, Portugal

Great question, and a common confusion in project and investment governance.

NPV is a forecasting tool used at Year 0 to decide whether to invest.

After the project ends, you assess value through realized value, not predictive value.

There are two mature approaches:

Ex-Post Financial Value

You can still calculate a realized NPV by discounting the actual cash flows back to the original baseline date.

Finance teams do this routinely to compare forecasts vs real outcomes.

Alternatively, ROI, IRR, and payback based on actuals give a clear picture of realized value.

Benefits Realization

Beyond pure finance, PMOs assess whether the strategic, operational, and capability benefits expected at Year 0 were actually delivered.

In short: NPV tells you whether to start; realized benefits tell you whether it was worth it.

Both matter, one for prediction, the other for learning and governance.

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Eduard Hernandez
Community Champion
Product Operations Program Manager Barcelona, Cataluña, Spain

This is a very valid question, and it ultimately comes down to benefit management. In my experience, benefit management is one of the least practiced processes in most companies. Once a project is completed, handed over to Operations, and the hyper-care phase has ended, Operations and Finance typically return to business as usual and rarely put metrics in place to compare the “before” and “after” states.

In some projects—such as those aimed at reducing machinery downtime or the number of interventions—this follow-up is done to a certain extent (for example, tracking a reduction from 20 interventions per month to 3, and converting that into a financial figure). But in most cases, benefit management either fades away quickly or never truly begins.

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Lissette Indhira Pimentel Sosa
Community Champion
Program Manager| HARPER SRL Santo Domingo / Distrito Nacional, Dominican Republic
You can measure value after a project ends, just not with the same forward-looking DCF used at Year 0.
The typical approach is to recalculate the NPV at completion by taking the actual cash flows from the five years and discounting them back to Year 0, this lets you compare real performance against the original business case.
In practice, organizations look at:
• Actual vs. expected benefits
• Variance in investment, revenue, and timing
• Whether the realized value matches or exceeds the planned value
So even at Year 5, you can tell if value was truly created, by measuring the real outcomes against the original economic baseline.

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