Luis BrancoCEO| Business Insight, Consultores de Gestão, LdªCarcavelos, Lisboa, Portugal
Yes, Generative AI can help quantify risk, but only within the boundaries of the data, assumptions, and context it can access.
It can analyze historical patterns, identify correlations, simulate scenarios, and support probability and impact assessments at a scale and speed that would be difficult for humans alone.
However, quantifying risk is not the same as understanding risk.
Many of the most significant project risks emerge from stakeholder behavior, shifting priorities, organizational dynamics, strategic decisions, and external disruptions, areas where historical data is often incomplete and where judgment remains essential.
The real question may not be whether Generative AI can quantify risk, but how much confidence decision-makers should place in AI-generated risk assessments.
AI can strengthen risk analysis. Accountability for decisions remains human.
