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Can someone give me example for Top-down Approach in term of Estimating Cost and Time

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Tam Nguyen Annandale, Va, United States
Can someone give me example for Top-down Approach in term of Estimating Cost and Time
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Sheilina Somani Program Manager/Senior Project Manager| Positively Project Management Harrow/Middlesex, United Kingdom
There are so many approaches - often depending upon your industry sector and project/programme context.

Using a mix of analogy, parametric and top down to assess a high level estimate for a conference/seminar; 8 speakers, 2 days for upto 200 guests.

you might split this into venue, transport/logistics, food/beverages, speakers.

Then top down/analogy/parametric - you'd use example costs from similar events to set up approximate values for each sector. For example ...

2 days venue hire at $900/day
2 days delegate package at $30/pp/per day
Transport/logistics for helpers and speakers only - approx $200 each (x volume of people)
Speaker rates say $1200/speaker x 8 speakers.

I'd then wrap a risk plan around that showing margin for change/further scope. This may include number of helpers/volunteers, health and safety surveys etc.

You'd do the same for set up/breakdown time ... and think about capturing recommendations/lessons learned for future.

Always when doing a top down approach, ensure that all key stakeholders recognise the potential inaccuracy of this quick/inaccurate guideline (estimate).

Hope that helps a little?
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1 reply by Tam Nguyen
Jul 28, 2017 9:47 PM
Tam Nguyen
...
It is very good knowledge. Thank you so much
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Ezekiel OLUTAYO Management| Shepherd Holmes Project Management Ltd Abia, Abia, Nigeria
In top-down estimation approach, the direction of efforts begins from the total project estimate (TOP:entire project estimate) derived from parametric or analogous basis. This total sum is then apportioned to individual efforts required to complete the project on the basis of their contribution.

For instance, for a software upgrade project, an analogous estimate of $4M was available which was adjusted for economic variables (e.g inflation, rise in cost of labour) and adapted for the new project as $5M.

This estimate of $5M could then be distributed over 3 subsidiary project efforts, say (Licensing, Installation & Testing - $2.5M), (Data Migration & Integrity - $1M) and (Documentation & Training - $1.5M).

Each of these efforts is further broken down to lower level and the apportioned estimate (e.g $1.5M for Documentation & Training) to each is also further distributed across the new lower level efforts, subject of course to historical data, experience etc.

And this continues in a downward trend...top-down, to the lowest level (activities)

I hope this makes some sense.
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2 replies by Ezekiel OLUTAYO and Tam Nguyen
Jul 28, 2017 9:48 PM
Tam Nguyen
...
thank you, you make me clear
Aug 03, 2017 6:22 PM
Ezekiel OLUTAYO
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You're welcome
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Tam Nguyen Annandale, Va, United States
Jul 28, 2017 8:10 AM
Replying to Sheilina Somani
...
There are so many approaches - often depending upon your industry sector and project/programme context.

Using a mix of analogy, parametric and top down to assess a high level estimate for a conference/seminar; 8 speakers, 2 days for upto 200 guests.

you might split this into venue, transport/logistics, food/beverages, speakers.

Then top down/analogy/parametric - you'd use example costs from similar events to set up approximate values for each sector. For example ...

2 days venue hire at $900/day
2 days delegate package at $30/pp/per day
Transport/logistics for helpers and speakers only - approx $200 each (x volume of people)
Speaker rates say $1200/speaker x 8 speakers.

I'd then wrap a risk plan around that showing margin for change/further scope. This may include number of helpers/volunteers, health and safety surveys etc.

You'd do the same for set up/breakdown time ... and think about capturing recommendations/lessons learned for future.

Always when doing a top down approach, ensure that all key stakeholders recognise the potential inaccuracy of this quick/inaccurate guideline (estimate).

Hope that helps a little?
It is very good knowledge. Thank you so much
...
1 reply by Sheilina Somani
Aug 03, 2017 3:48 AM
Sheilina Somani
...
You're very welcome!
avatar
Tam Nguyen Annandale, Va, United States
Jul 28, 2017 2:55 PM
Replying to Ezekiel OLUTAYO
...
In top-down estimation approach, the direction of efforts begins from the total project estimate (TOP:entire project estimate) derived from parametric or analogous basis. This total sum is then apportioned to individual efforts required to complete the project on the basis of their contribution.

For instance, for a software upgrade project, an analogous estimate of $4M was available which was adjusted for economic variables (e.g inflation, rise in cost of labour) and adapted for the new project as $5M.

This estimate of $5M could then be distributed over 3 subsidiary project efforts, say (Licensing, Installation & Testing - $2.5M), (Data Migration & Integrity - $1M) and (Documentation & Training - $1.5M).

Each of these efforts is further broken down to lower level and the apportioned estimate (e.g $1.5M for Documentation & Training) to each is also further distributed across the new lower level efforts, subject of course to historical data, experience etc.

And this continues in a downward trend...top-down, to the lowest level (activities)

I hope this makes some sense.
thank you, you make me clear
avatar
Sheilina Somani Program Manager/Senior Project Manager| Positively Project Management Harrow/Middlesex, United Kingdom
Jul 28, 2017 9:47 PM
Replying to Tam Nguyen
...
It is very good knowledge. Thank you so much
You're very welcome!
avatar
Ezekiel OLUTAYO Management| Shepherd Holmes Project Management Ltd Abia, Abia, Nigeria
Jul 28, 2017 2:55 PM
Replying to Ezekiel OLUTAYO
...
In top-down estimation approach, the direction of efforts begins from the total project estimate (TOP:entire project estimate) derived from parametric or analogous basis. This total sum is then apportioned to individual efforts required to complete the project on the basis of their contribution.

For instance, for a software upgrade project, an analogous estimate of $4M was available which was adjusted for economic variables (e.g inflation, rise in cost of labour) and adapted for the new project as $5M.

This estimate of $5M could then be distributed over 3 subsidiary project efforts, say (Licensing, Installation & Testing - $2.5M), (Data Migration & Integrity - $1M) and (Documentation & Training - $1.5M).

Each of these efforts is further broken down to lower level and the apportioned estimate (e.g $1.5M for Documentation & Training) to each is also further distributed across the new lower level efforts, subject of course to historical data, experience etc.

And this continues in a downward trend...top-down, to the lowest level (activities)

I hope this makes some sense.
You're welcome

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