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The Most Effective and Efficient Approach/outlook to manage and mitigate risks is the Pessimistic one ! Do you Agree ?

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Rand Mesmar Professional Consultancy Services Provider-| "We Help By Getting The Right Things Done In The Right Manner?" Nablus, West Banks, Palestine, State Of
The Most Effective and Efficient Approach/outlook to manage and mitigate risks is the Pessimistic one !
Do you Agree ? and if yes or no .. why ??
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Rand Mesmar Professional Consultancy Services Provider-| "We Help By Getting The Right Things Done In The Right Manner?" Nablus, West Banks, Palestine, State Of
Sep 06, 2017 3:10 PM
Replying to Stéphane Parent
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If I have to plan for Hurricane Irma, I will look at all possible outcomes, from no impact to complete disaster. Is that optimistic or pessimistic?
this is a critical attitude ( pessimistic ) ... (considering a complete disaster) this from My POV
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Peter Ambrosy Weinheim, Germany
Stephane, it would say, it is simply common sense.
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Sergio Luis Conte Helping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based Organizations Buenos Aires, Argentina
The worst thing you can do is to think things will go wrong. If you thing that then you will get it.
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1 reply by Rand Mesmar
Sep 06, 2017 4:53 PM
Rand Mesmar
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but most of time .. what will go wrong ... will do it
the laws of Murphy
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Rand Mesmar Professional Consultancy Services Provider-| "We Help By Getting The Right Things Done In The Right Manner?" Nablus, West Banks, Palestine, State Of
Sep 06, 2017 4:47 PM
Replying to Sergio Luis Conte
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The worst thing you can do is to think things will go wrong. If you thing that then you will get it.
but most of time .. what will go wrong ... will do it
the laws of Murphy
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Stéphane Parent Self Employed / Semi-retired| Leader Maker Prince Edward Island, Canada
Sergio is correct to a point: what we think about is what we make happen.

When we do risk management we have to look at all eventualities, from good to bad, then assess the likelihood and impact of each one.

Since you have to think about every eventuality, does it mean everyone will happen?
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Rand Mesmar Professional Consultancy Services Provider-| "We Help By Getting The Right Things Done In The Right Manner?" Nablus, West Banks, Palestine, State Of
thank you gentlemen i appreciate your informative and interactive contribution
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Anton Oosthuizen Senior Business Analyst / Project Manager| Self Employed Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa
I would say not BUT... Here is a quote by William Ward I used in my Accept It to Manage It webinar:

The Pessimist complains about the wind
The Optimist expects it to change
The Realist adjusts the sails

Yes, you need to be a pessimist because you need to think of what could go wrong and you need to do something about it. If you don't you are not managing your risk properly.

Yes you need to be an optimist because it is part of your job to motivate

Yes, you need to be a realist because just believing something will change does not mean it will, you have to make it change.
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Aaron Porter
Community Champion
IT Director| Blade HQ Payson, UT, United States
Consider the risk management process (one approach, anyway):
* Identify risks
* Assess risk exposure (probability x impact; quantitative and qualitative analysis)
* Select & manage risk response

A little bit of pessimism when identifying risks is not a bad thing. It would be best to be realistic when analyzing risks and determining the appropriate response. You can be optimistic when communicating about the risk and your preparation for it.
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Kiron Bondale Retired | Mentor| Retired Welland, Ontario, Canada
Rand -

1. Your assertion would apply to threats but not to opportunities (positive risks).

2. The risk in always going with the pessimist view is that you could incur unnecessary or unwarranted costs to your project. Think of risk management like insurance - I can insure myself against ALL possible calamities, but I'd also be broke.

Kiron
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Tony Yang PM Leader| a manufacturing company Zhongshan, China, Mainland
when we discernment a risk, we will make a meeting to talk about it, then find a solution method that get mostly people approval. on the meeting we will think about the optimistic,passive and normal condition. in my opinion, we should use most pessimistic attitude to analysis the risk and use the most optimistic attitude to face risk happen.
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