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What is the probability of occurrence if the risk rating is 0.56 and the impact if the risk does occur is very high (0.80)?

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George Lewis Program/Project Manager| DXC Technology Company Heredia, Costa Rica
What is the probability of occurrence if the risk rating is 0.56 and the impact if the risk does occur is very high (0.80)?

A. 0.45
B. 0.56
C. 0.70
D. 1.36
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Krishna Pakki Project Services Manager| Rio Tinto Gilbert, Az, United States
C is the answer
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Ed Tsyitee Jr Consultant | Consultant Tucson, Az, United States
I agree. C is the best answer.
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Stéphane Parent Self Employed / Semi-retired| Leader Maker Prince Edward Island, Canada
What is C, George?
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Peter Ambrosy Weinheim, Germany
It appears to me that the question from George is related to the decision tree EVM calculation. In this case the impact as described with 0.8 and the answer C (0.7) does not make sense to me, as the impact and answer C must have a cost value, not just a pure percentage. George, can you clarify?
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1 reply by George Lewis
Sep 08, 2017 10:27 AM
George Lewis
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Hi Peter - I think it's clear now right?

Vincent did clarify... Risk rating is calculated with impact x probability, in this case 0.56 = 0.8 X "?"
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Vincent Guerard Coach - Trainer - Speaker - Advisor| Freelance Mont-Royal, Quebec, Canada
Peter

Risk rating is calculated with impact x probability, in this case 0.56 = 0.8 X "?"

Probability is an %
Impact is often evaluated in range, I agree when you can a cost value should be identify.
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Najam Mumtaz Retired Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan
I would also agree with "C" to be the answer
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George Lewis Program/Project Manager| DXC Technology Company Heredia, Costa Rica
Sep 08, 2017 7:39 AM
Replying to Peter Ambrosy
...
It appears to me that the question from George is related to the decision tree EVM calculation. In this case the impact as described with 0.8 and the answer C (0.7) does not make sense to me, as the impact and answer C must have a cost value, not just a pure percentage. George, can you clarify?
Hi Peter - I think it's clear now right?

Vincent did clarify... Risk rating is calculated with impact x probability, in this case 0.56 = 0.8 X "?"
...
1 reply by Peter Ambrosy
Sep 08, 2017 11:57 AM
Peter Ambrosy
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Yes, it is clear from the math point of view: EMV = Probability x Impact, but as also Vincent highlighted a kind of cost value should be behind. I guess, this was also the question from Stephane.
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Peter Ambrosy Weinheim, Germany
Sep 08, 2017 10:27 AM
Replying to George Lewis
...
Hi Peter - I think it's clear now right?

Vincent did clarify... Risk rating is calculated with impact x probability, in this case 0.56 = 0.8 X "?"
Yes, it is clear from the math point of view: EMV = Probability x Impact, but as also Vincent highlighted a kind of cost value should be behind. I guess, this was also the question from Stephane.
...
1 reply by Stéphane Parent
Sep 08, 2017 11:59 AM
Stéphane Parent
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Actually, Peter, I was just framing my answer in the form of a question, à la Jeopardy.

But I like your explanation better! :)
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Stéphane Parent Self Employed / Semi-retired| Leader Maker Prince Edward Island, Canada
Sep 08, 2017 11:57 AM
Replying to Peter Ambrosy
...
Yes, it is clear from the math point of view: EMV = Probability x Impact, but as also Vincent highlighted a kind of cost value should be behind. I guess, this was also the question from Stephane.
Actually, Peter, I was just framing my answer in the form of a question, à la Jeopardy.

But I like your explanation better! :)

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