Most of us would say robots will never replace the human element. However, the lines will inevitably become thinner between what a human can do, and what robots can do better. Apart from the obvious benefits of yielding PM responsibilities to a robot, the human element could actually be a liability with factors such as prejudice, corruption, self interest, varying skill levels, and a severely limited memory compared to a massive database of lessons learned etc. at the robots disposal, instantly. I may be asking the wrong people (PM's) how they would feel about a robot doing their job better, but perhaps there is a different role for us in the future. Maintaining the robot perhaps, which might be the ultimate irony. Saving Changes...
Sante, a very interesting question.
Technology will certainly evolve over the next years and decades and their might be a point in time where a robot may have all the possible technical features described above.
But the emotional intelligence, how to reflect on people, talk and work with people...I believe a robot will be still limited compared to a human being. Projects without emotions, conflicts, difficult decision making....how boring and sad will be such an environment...
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3 replies by Jess De Ocampo, John Henry, and Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
Oct 23, 2017 6:04 AM
Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
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Very true Peter, that is one big area that will be hard to replicate, and a disturbing environment should it be achieved.
Oct 24, 2017 2:23 AM
Jess De Ocampo
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I agree. AI cannot replace the 'gut feeling, intuition and the human ability to makes sense out of the abstract. These emotions and feelings bind us.
Oct 24, 2017 9:30 AM
John Henry
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AI would work if you were reworking the same project and expectig the same results. But then you can just leave it alone if that is the case. A PM, can reason with those resistant to change, a PM can negotiate with high level executives, and can look at a creative solution. A PM will bring all their experience to bear, even when the match is not exact, it will be close enough to add value. any AI algorithm we use today, will be great for tracking projects, analyzing issues and identifying milestones, and failure points, after they have occurred. But to accomplish what a project team does, to create a new situation, a new solution, requires problem identification and solving through collaborative process, and in an iterative manner, These are two things that I do not believe will be accomplished by AI in the foreseeable future. I think, Project management, business analysis and subject matter experts are safe for the present.
Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Sorry for starting my comments in this way. Let me say I have a degree in AI and I worked with AI. Actually I am working on research of quantum computing which will support AI in the future. With all that say, let me point out that AI is a new buzzword, unfortunately. Something to take into account for people that want to search for information: 1-search for serious statistics and you will see that work places have not been lost for using AI and related devices. 2-read Roger Penrose book "The Emperor´s New Mind". At the end, when I made my AI degree, I studied with "fahters" of AI and one of them said to as: "AI devices will replace human beings the day AI devices will be able to read the newspaper will sitting in the toilet at the same time, like human beings do".
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1 reply by Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
Oct 23, 2017 6:05 AM
Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
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Sergio, you may end working on the project that creates the first AI project management. Would you accept such a project? ;-)
I think if humans become more robotic (ie. organs and body parts replaced with robotic devices), and robots become more human, one might argue that a robot is more human than a human. Are the qualifications for a human say more than 50% organic parts? What if a robot has 80% organic parts and a human has 50% robotic parts? AI has been able to read newspapers for some time. Not sure about sitting on the toilet. But i see that as a liability moreso than an asset.
For me I guess a human is a human as long as the brain is intact with its original host. The day a human brain can be harvested, genetically mutated, or just artificially created through robotics, is the day human PM's may become obsolete.
The only way around it is make sure the PM who manages the creation of the robot that becomes a PM, fails the project. But then we would be going against the ethical standards we signed up for with PMI. A dilemma ;-)
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1 reply by Sergio Luis Conte
Oct 23, 2017 9:41 AM
Sergio Luis Conte
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That is the point. Is not about robotic. Is about AI (artificial intelligence).
Sante, a very interesting question.
Technology will certainly evolve over the next years and decades and their might be a point in time where a robot may have all the possible technical features described above.
But the emotional intelligence, how to reflect on people, talk and work with people...I believe a robot will be still limited compared to a human being. Projects without emotions, conflicts, difficult decision making....how boring and sad will be such an environment...
Very true Peter, that is one big area that will be hard to replicate, and a disturbing environment should it be achieved. Saving Changes...
Sorry for starting my comments in this way. Let me say I have a degree in AI and I worked with AI. Actually I am working on research of quantum computing which will support AI in the future. With all that say, let me point out that AI is a new buzzword, unfortunately. Something to take into account for people that want to search for information: 1-search for serious statistics and you will see that work places have not been lost for using AI and related devices. 2-read Roger Penrose book "The Emperor´s New Mind". At the end, when I made my AI degree, I studied with "fahters" of AI and one of them said to as: "AI devices will replace human beings the day AI devices will be able to read the newspaper will sitting in the toilet at the same time, like human beings do".
Sergio, you may end working on the project that creates the first AI project management. Would you accept such a project? ;-)
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1 reply by Sergio Luis Conte
Oct 23, 2017 9:40 AM
Sergio Luis Conte
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It is impossible to create an AI device that will be a project manager. I will say where most of the people who are working on AI to emulate human beings are today: trying to simulate consciousness. That is the key thing that AI devices can not simulate to be human beings. There are a lot of work in that field (I am working into it too). You can find papers and talks from people inside the Royal Institute, Cargnegie Mellon University, MIT. Neural Networks, Quatum Computing are key in parallel processing. But about consciousness, nothing to do today.
Saving Changes...
Drew CraigSr. Agile & Product Coach| VanguardPhiladelphia, Pa, United States
Hi Sante, there have actually been a few discussions around this topic over the past year or so.
I don't see it happening anytime soon. There are simply too many variables to consider when managing projects; human interaction, unplanned dialogues, EQ, decisions based on experience and gut feelings/intuition, etc.
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1 reply by Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
Oct 23, 2017 7:00 AM
Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
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Hi Andrew, admittedly intuition would be a hard one. But there is such a fine line between intuition and reasoning attached to say a large database of lessons learned for example. We may not have to worry about it until the next generation or the one after that. I think in some industries it could be an advantage.
Hi Sante, there have actually been a few discussions around this topic over the past year or so.
I don't see it happening anytime soon. There are simply too many variables to consider when managing projects; human interaction, unplanned dialogues, EQ, decisions based on experience and gut feelings/intuition, etc.
Hi Andrew, admittedly intuition would be a hard one. But there is such a fine line between intuition and reasoning attached to say a large database of lessons learned for example. We may not have to worry about it until the next generation or the one after that. I think in some industries it could be an advantage. Saving Changes...
Well. I don't think humans role can be eliminated. There will always remain human intervention. Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Oct 23, 2017 6:05 AM
Replying to Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
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Sergio, you may end working on the project that creates the first AI project management. Would you accept such a project? ;-)
It is impossible to create an AI device that will be a project manager. I will say where most of the people who are working on AI to emulate human beings are today: trying to simulate consciousness. That is the key thing that AI devices can not simulate to be human beings. There are a lot of work in that field (I am working into it too). You can find papers and talks from people inside the Royal Institute, Cargnegie Mellon University, MIT. Neural Networks, Quatum Computing are key in parallel processing. But about consciousness, nothing to do today. Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Oct 23, 2017 6:02 AM
Replying to Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
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I think if humans become more robotic (ie. organs and body parts replaced with robotic devices), and robots become more human, one might argue that a robot is more human than a human. Are the qualifications for a human say more than 50% organic parts? What if a robot has 80% organic parts and a human has 50% robotic parts? AI has been able to read newspapers for some time. Not sure about sitting on the toilet. But i see that as a liability moreso than an asset.
For me I guess a human is a human as long as the brain is intact with its original host. The day a human brain can be harvested, genetically mutated, or just artificially created through robotics, is the day human PM's may become obsolete.
The only way around it is make sure the PM who manages the creation of the robot that becomes a PM, fails the project. But then we would be going against the ethical standards we signed up for with PMI. A dilemma ;-)
That is the point. Is not about robotic. Is about AI (artificial intelligence). Saving Changes...
