Most of us would say robots will never replace the human element. However, the lines will inevitably become thinner between what a human can do, and what robots can do better. Apart from the obvious benefits of yielding PM responsibilities to a robot, the human element could actually be a liability with factors such as prejudice, corruption, self interest, varying skill levels, and a severely limited memory compared to a massive database of lessons learned etc. at the robots disposal, instantly. I may be asking the wrong people (PM's) how they would feel about a robot doing their job better, but perhaps there is a different role for us in the future. Maintaining the robot perhaps, which might be the ultimate irony. Saving Changes...
Stéphane ParentSelf Employed / Semi-retired| Leader MakerPrince Edward Island, Canada
Let's remember that AI is really just a fancy computer: by using learning algorithms, it can answer more and more difficult questions.
A project manager is not about answering difficult questions. It is about making constant decisions.
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1 reply by Sergio Luis Conte
Oct 23, 2017 10:39 AM
Sergio Luis Conte
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You are in line Stéphane. At this time there is no possibility to emulate what you stated mainly about restrictions on parallel processing and other things that people can read in Penrose´s book "The emperors new mind" or Hosftadter´s book "Godel, Escher, Bach: an eternal golden braid". That is because quamtum computing is considering one of the possible answers (by the way, you can use it into IBM site). But here is where neuroscience is making lot of about consciousness because is the key about human being decisions.
Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Oct 23, 2017 10:19 AM
Replying to Stéphane Parent
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Let's remember that AI is really just a fancy computer: by using learning algorithms, it can answer more and more difficult questions.
A project manager is not about answering difficult questions. It is about making constant decisions.
You are in line Stéphane. At this time there is no possibility to emulate what you stated mainly about restrictions on parallel processing and other things that people can read in Penrose´s book "The emperors new mind" or Hosftadter´s book "Godel, Escher, Bach: an eternal golden braid". That is because quamtum computing is considering one of the possible answers (by the way, you can use it into IBM site). But here is where neuroscience is making lot of about consciousness because is the key about human being decisions. Saving Changes...
Could sufficiently advanced AI manage a project? Yes.
Could it manage a high complexity project? Maybe
Would you want to be part of a project led by a robot instead of a human? Personal preference.
I think the stepping stone will be AI-aided project management where the AI provides guidance and recommendations but decision-making is still human driven.
But faced with a high degree of uncertainty, will a robot have the creativity and sufficient "gut feel" to come up with a plan of attack?
No.
Although PMs count on everything that could help them delivering the projects. Believe that there is more benefits than cons on having AI in project management. Saving Changes...
Tim PodestaDirector of PM/PMO| Former BP- now IndependentPenn, Bucks, United Kingdom
My quick awswer is no but AI is making a huge difference.
For me AI can stand for two things other than Artificial Intelligence - as Technology that affects our work and lives
AI can also stand for
1. Accelerating Intelligence - more and more and more data - faster and faster and faster responses.
2. Anarchic Intelligence- technology that takes over our lives - rather than us using technology to help our lives. Saving Changes...
Replace is possibly too strong, change sure.
AI will change most of how we work, I don't believe it will replace everything in PM. Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Today we are surrounded by AI. AI is there in lot of devices from more that 20 years ago. For example in refrigerator that are using fuzzy logic. Thanks God things like beer has not been replaced by AI in my refrigerator. Saving Changes...
Jess De OcampoLean Six Sigma Professional/Project Manager/Consultant/| .Manila, Ncr, Philippines
Oct 23, 2017 5:00 AM
Replying to Peter Ambrosy
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Sante, a very interesting question.
Technology will certainly evolve over the next years and decades and their might be a point in time where a robot may have all the possible technical features described above.
But the emotional intelligence, how to reflect on people, talk and work with people...I believe a robot will be still limited compared to a human being. Projects without emotions, conflicts, difficult decision making....how boring and sad will be such an environment...
I agree. AI cannot replace the 'gut feeling, intuition and the human ability to makes sense out of the abstract. These emotions and feelings bind us. Saving Changes...
Sometimes I wonder though, human intuition, gut feeling, street smarts etc. are really based on the experiences we have had in the past. If I get a gut feeling that walking down a dark alley way may not be compatible with prolonging my life, I would have probably based that decision on something I have experienced, watched on TV, read in a book, or heard from someone else's experience; but put it down to intuition or a gut feeling without thinking about it twice. If there was a database of millions of experiences, stories, lessons learned that AI beings could draw upon to make decisions, especially since they would make that decision almost instantaneously, it may seem like intuition.
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1 reply by Sergio Luis Conte
Oct 24, 2017 4:59 AM
Sergio Luis Conte
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Ai is working today (between others) in trying to imitate perception. According to neuroscience human being perception is the best guess between data received and data stored after transform them into information. It is a probabilistic calculation and it has an inherent error. Here is where we have again in the case of parallel processing and because it is impossible (and according to predictions most written in the books I named before) to imitate human being parallel processing with actual computer architecture some people think quamtum computing is the answer. But intuition is tied to consciousness then it is a field that can not be imitate by AI at least today. Take into account that about quamtum computing the estimations said that we are 50 years behind to have a result that we can consider able to replace the most simple today computer.
Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
Oct 24, 2017 3:31 AM
Replying to Sante Delle-Vergini, PhD
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Sometimes I wonder though, human intuition, gut feeling, street smarts etc. are really based on the experiences we have had in the past. If I get a gut feeling that walking down a dark alley way may not be compatible with prolonging my life, I would have probably based that decision on something I have experienced, watched on TV, read in a book, or heard from someone else's experience; but put it down to intuition or a gut feeling without thinking about it twice. If there was a database of millions of experiences, stories, lessons learned that AI beings could draw upon to make decisions, especially since they would make that decision almost instantaneously, it may seem like intuition.
Ai is working today (between others) in trying to imitate perception. According to neuroscience human being perception is the best guess between data received and data stored after transform them into information. It is a probabilistic calculation and it has an inherent error. Here is where we have again in the case of parallel processing and because it is impossible (and according to predictions most written in the books I named before) to imitate human being parallel processing with actual computer architecture some people think quamtum computing is the answer. But intuition is tied to consciousness then it is a field that can not be imitate by AI at least today. Take into account that about quamtum computing the estimations said that we are 50 years behind to have a result that we can consider able to replace the most simple today computer. Saving Changes...
