The cost of managing risk
From the Risk Insights from The Risk Doctor Blog
by David Hillson
As we seek to manage risk effectively, questions of cost are inevitable since risk management is not free. But is it worth it? There is no “zero-cost option” for risk management, and the costs to be paid fall into three categories : one-off, ongoing, and occasional.
First are the costs of entry, paid once to establish a risk management capability. The primary cost here is for the “Three T’s”: techniques, tools and training. Any organisation wishing to manage risk has to invest in the necessary infrastructure to support the risk process. Techniques and procedures must be developed and rolled out. Tools to support the process must be bought or developed. And staff must be trained to use the techniques and tools effectively. If the entry cost is not paid, risk management remains merely a good intention, with no capability to deliver.
The second type of costs are for ongoing maintenance, to preserve an effective organisational risk management capability. It is important to keep the risk process fresh and up to date. Without ongoing development of the risk process, there is a danger of losing effectiveness. Risk management is a developing discipline, and new techniques and tools emerge regularly. Even the conceptual basis continues to grow as new ideas become accepted into the mainstream. Effective risk management requires refresher training to maintain and develop staff skills, as well as revitalising the process to incorporate recent developments and new approaches. On average an organisation should aim to refresh its risk process every 2-3 years to stay up to date.
Lastly there are the costs associated with managing risk on projects. Each project faces a unique risk challenge, and managing this incurs costs for assessing risk and for addressing risk.
- Assessing risk : These are the costs of implementing the risk process on the project, including spending time and resources in risk identification workshops or interviews, performing risk assessments and analyses, attending risk reviews, writing risk reports etc.
- Addressing risk : This covers the cost of executing risk response plans, those actions which were not originally in the project plan, but which are deemed necessary in order to deal appropriately with identified risks. Proactive actions are needed to avoid or reduce threats, and to exploit or enhance opportunities. Contingency and fallback plans must be put in place in case risks occur. These costs would not have been incurred if risks had not been identified, but they are necessary to optimise the chances of achieving project objectives.
If an organisation is serious about managing its risk, it must be prepared to pay these costs. This is particularly true of projects, which tend to have fixed budgets. Risk management will never be effective if it is seen as an optional zero-cost extra. The cost of assessing risk must be included in the overall project management budget, and there must be adequate contingency in the project budget to cover the costs of addressing risks.
Of course there is a cost-benefit relationship from investing in risk management. Risk management delivers a wide range of benefits to the organisation and to its projects, clients and staff. Although it is hard to measure the return on investment for risk management, it is certain that no benefits will be realised unless the organisation is prepared to pay these costs. Indeed, not paying the cost to implement risk management exposes an organisation to another unnecessary cost – unmanaged risk. This includes threats which turn into problems which could have been avoided, as well as missed opportunities which could have delivered extra benefits.
In my view, the answer to the question “Is it worth it?” is a definite yes. If we pay the cost of managing risk, we will surely reap the benefits.
Posted on: February 23, 2016 03:31 PM |
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Comments (13)
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George Lewis
Program/Project Manager| DXC Technology Company
Heredia, Costa Rica
Thanks for sharing. Sometimes there is the assumptions that there is no cost in managing risks, but I agree: “Is it worth it?” is a definite yes. If we pay the cost of managing risk, we will surely reap the benefits.
David Hillson
The Risk Doctor| The Risk Doctor Partnership
Petersfield, Hampshire, United Kingdom
Good overview David,
it reminded me of the concept of CoQ = Cost of Quality (cost of conformance + cost of non-conformance) which is minimized when both sides of the sum are balanced.
Is there a similar representation for risk? A CoR?
David Hillson
The Risk Doctor| The Risk Doctor Partnership
Petersfield, Hampshire, United Kingdom
Hi Thomas. That's a great comparison. As far as I know there is no formal CoR metric, but that's exactly what I was aiming at.
If we compare with CoQ, then the "cost of conformance" is the cost of establishing a risk management capability and implementing it, including the cost of agreed risk responses. And the "cost of non-conformance" is the impact of avoidable threats that turn into problems, and missed opportunities that should have been captured.
But with CoR we're not aiming to balance the two of these factors. We're calculating a ROI for risk management, based on the benefits from implementing risk management divided by the Total CoR.
Thanks for suggesting this interesting link.
Rami Kaibni
Community Champion
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten Associates
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
I like the fact that it resembles somehow the CoQ in terms of how it is structured. This is very useful and maybe adding a CoR would be a future metric, why not. Great Post David !
David Hillson
The Risk Doctor| The Risk Doctor Partnership
Petersfield, Hampshire, United Kingdom
Thanks Rami. I think with Thomas's help we may have discovered something new and useful!
Ayman Omar Atallah
Deputy Project Control Manager| Consolidated Contractors Company
Doha, Qatar
Very nice simple words to summarize the very important processes of Risk Management that are often overlooked and handled lightly by practitioners.
Hi David, Identifying costs as those relating to ongoing entry, maintenance, assessment and addressing is excellent! At the same time, estimating the cost of unmanaged risk may not always be straightforward or easy.
David Hillson
The Risk Doctor| The Risk Doctor Partnership
Petersfield, Hampshire, United Kingdom
@Ayman. Thanks, I'm glad you found this helpful. Risk management should not be too difficult!!
David Hillson
The Risk Doctor| The Risk Doctor Partnership
Petersfield, Hampshire, United Kingdom
@Prabhaker. Thanks for your contribution to this topic. In my view, the cost of unmanaged risk has two components: (1) The additional cost arising from the effect of a threat that turns into a problem; and (2) The opportunity cost of missed savings that we could have made if we had captured an opportunity.
I think it should be quite straightforward to calculate this, don't you?
Rogerio Santos
Director| .: RIZ | iko Software :.
Rio De Janeiro, Rj, Brazil
Great! I can't agree more!
The question is who will pay for unmanaged risk? Sponsors with their money and managers with their jobs!
David Hillson
The Risk Doctor| The Risk Doctor Partnership
Petersfield, Hampshire, United Kingdom
Thanks Rogerio. I''m not sure that sponsors should pay for all unmanaged risk? This depends on the form of contract. Sometimes the client or a supplier might be the cause of unmanaged risk, and the contract may allow the cost to be claimed from them. But generally the cost of unmanaged risk becomes part of the project budget, and if the project over-runs then someone has to pay!
And I hope you are not right about the project manager''s job?!! ;-)
@David: I agree. Cost of a risk turning into problem and opportunity cost are good candidates.
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