Project Management

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Modelling Business Decisions and their Consequences

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Most fictional stories, plays, and movies use conflict to advance their plots. However, movies are particularly dependent on conflict expressed as physical violence to attract audiences, and these incidents of silver screen violence are usually performed by characters who are supposed to be experts in their particular martial specialty. Bruce Lee, Jean-Claude Van Damme, and Chuck Norris are just a few of the martial arts specialists whose fighting exploits have represented significant parts of popular movies. I think, though, that it’s fairly easy to forget that what we are witnessing when we see martial arts experts engaged in violent conflict on-screen is not actually a violent conflict. It is, in fact, an acted-out representation of a violent conflict. When Darth Vader extends his hand towards an unfortunate Imperial Officer with his thumb and forefinger about one inch apart , that “officer” can, in reality, still breathe, his gasping and croaking notwithstanding.  When Bruce Lee took on multiple opponents in his movies, he didn’t win because of his superior training, because he was in better physical condition, or because of his characters’ inherent virtue or the goodness of his cause. He won because the script said he was going to win.

Meanwhile, back in the world of Project Management, we’re always grounded in reality, right? I mean, if a project out-performs its scope, cost, and schedule baselines, that’s ipso facto evidence of a superior project team, yes? Conversely, when a project fails to meet its objectives within the constraints of cost and schedule targets, that project team performed, shall we say, sub-optimally, and everyone knows it, amirite?

Well, not so fast.

Projects’ cost and schedule performance measurement systems perform two functions:

  • Put into the hands of the project’s (or organization’s) decision-makers the information they need to make the best choices, and
  • Provide supporting evidence for the creation of an audit trail, a narrative about how the project came about, was executed, and encountered the results that it did.

It’s this second function that tends to create mucho problemas, and where the work of consultants gets pulled back into the conversation. Few “analysis” techniques are easier than going through the records of a failed project, and pointing an accusatory finger at those whose decisions led to the project’s difficulties – unless, of course, the narrative has been manipulated to deflect blame from the real perps and towards either vague, inchoate sources, or (worse) against the innocent members of the project team.

So, how does this narrative get manipulated? Sadly, there are many opportunities to do so, as indicated in Table 1.

Table 1. Some Of The Ways Charlatans Change The Narrative

Person Doing The Manipulating

Nature of Manipulation

Risk Managers

If something unexpected happens to the project, and it’s not covered in the so-called risk register, then it is simply categorized as an “unknown unknown” event, getting the risk analysts off the hook.

Poorly performing project manager, Part I

Faced with negative cost and schedule variances, some PMs will attempt to change the baseline upward/longer, in order to hide their poor performance. Most customers, however, are aware of the “get-well” baseline change proposal (BCP), and will prevent its successful implementation.

Poorly performing project manager, Part II

Faced with negative cost variances, some PMs will attempt to tap reserve accounts, such as contingency. However, since contingency reserves are set aside for in-scope, uncosted expenses, and poor performance does not qualify, these PMs will have to try to assert that the negative variance was due to a risk event (see #1, above).

Customer

The generic client is notorious for trying to shoe-horn in more stringent requirements or standards in order to get a better product for the price already negotiated. Canny PMs will be on guard against this tactic, but rookies are susceptible to massive amounts of scope creep.

 

It’s as if you have a room full of script writers, all with their own hidden agenda, pretending to want to legitimately contribute, while they provide inconsistent (or even conttradictory) dialogue for the same film. And – wouldn’t you just know it? – the narrative never seems to reach a conclusion on precisely who provides such dopey project management as to be avoided in future major contract awards.

In my last blog, I showed how the utilization of fear as a motivation tactic has only limited effectiveness. But I will say this for the Galactic Empire: they do have a way of keeping profoundly inept players from returning to the game.

 


Posted on: May 02, 2017 09:12 PM | Permalink

Comments (9)

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Karthik T Senior Engineering Manager| Nike Bangalore, Karnataka, India
Interesting post!

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Rami Kaibni
Community Champion
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten Associates New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
Great post Michael.

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Eduin Fernando Valdes Alvarado Project Manager| F y F Fabricamos Futuro Villavicencio, Meta, Colombia
Very good, thanks

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Mayte Mata Sivera PMO Leader | Speaker | Author Ut, United States
Interesting! Thank you for sharing.

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Rose Green Project Management Officer| LJMU Liverpool, United Kingdom
I'm sure you're not really advocating the Empire's drastic measures - are you...?

Interesting article; thanks for sharing.

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Michael Hatfield Author / Blogger| Author Albuquerque, Nm, United States
Rose, about your question -- while walking around looking like a combat robot and sounding like a portable iron lung machine might actually be an improvement to my current presentation, I think I'd rather avoid having every single project I ever worked on blown to smithereens.

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Sean Alfred Principal Consultant| Highland Professional Services Friendswood, Tx, United States
I think Lord Vader's approach lends new meaning to the deliverable: Project Execution Plan.

More seriously though, in our line of work we need a somewhat healthier version of the type conflict showcased in Crimson Tide (starring Gene Hackman and Denzel Washington - two of my favorite actors). One of the best aspects of stories is that they allow us to explore & envisage future outcomes without actually being destructive.

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Michael Hatfield Author / Blogger| Author Albuquerque, Nm, United States
Good one, Sean.

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Julia Cunningham Manager Project Management| Battelle Richland, Wa, United States
Thanks again.

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