Cassandra
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by Wai Mun Koo
The world of project management through the monocles of culture, design, business, technology, politics, social, education, philosophy and music.
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Every morning when we wake up, we stand in front of the mirror, fill the toothbrush with toothpaste, look into the mirror again and start to brush our teeth from the same spot. We move on to the next spot when we are done with the current one. Depending on the habit, it could be the one on top or the one on the right. We continue doing this until all the teeth are cleaned. The same teeth-brushing process is repeated every morning starting from the same spot and going through the same flow. We never know why we have to start exactly from the same spot or why we follow the same flow. It seems like our subconscious minds have registered the pattern and taken over the control. It is habitual. If someone now insists that we have to start brushing our teeth from a new spot and in a different direction, I am sure most of us will find it uneasy to adapt to the new method and will probably sink back to the old habit in no time. We loath at change and we curse at those that tell us to change.
So far, we are just looking at the habits of individuals. If habit is manifested on a grander scale, say organization, then what we are dealing with will be a cultural issue.
“If it ain't broke, don't fix it.”
“Left well enough alone.”
“Let sleeping dogs lie.”
We have heard phrases like these echoed through the office corridors many times. Mark Twain once said – “Nobody likes change except a wet baby.” As much as we dislike those green-horned change agents, we abhor the bearers of bad news even more. We love sweet words and flattery, and turn a deaf ear to those who try to warn us.
In my previous article “Antemortem Confession of an Ant”, I wrote about a valiant ant who tried to warn the fellow ants that they might have been trapped in the ‘Spiral of Death’, but was eventually being dismissed as having a hallucinated fantasy. We have a special name for such people who are disbelieved when they try to warn others about something bad that is going happen. We call them ‘Cassandra’ – the name of the daughter of Priam, the King of Troy, who was both blessed with the gift of prophecy and cursed in such a way that no one would believe her warnings. You probably have come across a few Cassandras in your organization. Sad to say, there is a high chance that they are being thrown into isolation in one of the Gulag camps by now.
So, why do we shy away from bad news and warnings? Why we avoid Cassandras like the plague? Could it be ego, hubris or simply just being too timid to face the warnings? Perhaps, we may find an answer in a report issued by Richard Stevenson, Trevor Case, and Betty Repacholi called “My baby doesn't smell as bad as yours: The plasticity of disgust”. This report that appeared in the September 2006 issue of the journal “Evolution & Human Behavior” provides evidence suggesting that mothers regard their own baby’s fecal smell as less disgusting than that from someone else’s baby. This implies that we have a preference, or higher tolerance, for our own body odors and those from close kin over those from other people regardless of the intensity of disgust of the odors. Perhaps we have a similar inclination when it comes to warnings. We have higher tolerance for warnings that concern us and may tend to perceive them as less critical, thereby paying less attention to or even ignoring them completely.
Unfortunately, this does not imply that the warnings are less valid. The diaper will still get wet and we need someone to inform us when the diaper needs to be changed. In other words, Cassandras are invaluable to an organization. It is always a good thing to have a couple of them around. No matter how unpleasant they are to the ear, we may still need to rely on Cassandras’ warnings in order to help the organization to evade the potential pitfalls ahead. The price to pay for shunning them is too high. Instead, we may take the warnings in a positive light, perhaps as inputs to our continuous risk assessment process in projects. Have you identified any Cassandra in your team? Do you have an environment that will encourage them to voice up their opinions and warn the team of any looming danger?
Posted on: October 02, 2012 12:18 AM |
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Comments (5)
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The problem here, as I see it, is two-fold: one comes from within, the other from without.
From without, because if you put yourself in the management's shoes, it is pretty difficult to distinguish the Cassandras from the Boys Who Cried Wolf. People like to complain (in some countries it's even a national sport), people like to point out flaws, and people like to generalize - and yes, I'm aware that by saying this I'm also committing a generalization. In any case, at the end of the day, after having being confronted by all the doomsayers, management can either choose to believe, and potentially spend substantial amounts chasing wild geese in risk management, or to ignore, potentially exposing themselves to costly danger. The situation then becomes "is it more expensive to spend now in order to prevent, or later in order to fix?", multiplied by the percentage of chance things will actually go wrong. In other words, it is no longer in the hands of the Cassandra - it is now a managerial decision based on how the warning was perceived in terms of likelihood and impact.
And I also say from within, because if you really are a Cassandra, then you do not want to be mistaken for a Boy Who Cried Wolf, and that's entirely up to you. Allow me to put a bit of ancient Chinese history up against your Greek mythology. Almost two and half millenia ago, Lao Tsu wrote in the Tao Te Ching "Those who speak don't know, and those who know don't speak". Do you think the Cassandras (i.e. those who know, in this case) might be better served by not speaking, and maybe choosing another course of action to demonstrate the veracity of their claims? Like the ant from your previous blog entry, who may have been better off walking its own path after noticing they were going in circles, sometimes it is more effective to show the right way by going there, instead of just pointing out that the current way is wrong.
 | Anonymous |
I am a Cassandra - and deeply frustrated! Julien's comment simply serves to feed the quagmire of self-doubt that plagues me because despite trying 101 different approaches on 101 different occasions, my warningshave repeatedly been ignored - with the inevitable consequences following.
I have come to the conclusion (self-serving as it may be) that one factor that complicates this situation is that many organisations (my own included) suffer from hierarchical deafness : If the concern emanates from someone "lower than me" in the ranks than I can ignore it........ie the very nature of my position in the organisation (reporting in to Senior Mgt on whose behalf I administer a Portfolio of Projects) invalidates my ability to save them from themselves!!!!.....They simply don't want to hear that they cannot have what they want without sacrificing something else that they want too!
They choose the path of repeated disappointment rather than delayed gratification every time.
Wai Mun Koo
PMO Director| Intergraph PP&M
Singapore, Singapore
Julien, once again, well presented thoughts. Brilliant! I am all for it on your point that there is a need to effectively differentiate Cassandra from The Lying Shepherd. I would say this is not easy. My point is just so that Cassandra is given a chance and not immediately shunned by the arrogant authorities. At least open up the channel.
You're also right that 'sometimes it is more effective to show the right way by going there, instead of just pointing out that the current way is wrong.' This would be a better approach than just saying. However, it is not always possible since the price to pay for doing so might be too costly or simply not realistic.
Wai Mun Koo
PMO Director| Intergraph PP&M
Singapore, Singapore
Anonymous, your point on hierarchical deafness is so true. This is a sad reality. The important point is to find out why people choose to ignore? There is a chinese proverb that says 'the best medicine is always the most bitter'. There could be many theories to explain this, but I would say, try another approach to warn them as Julien suggested. Perhaps, it will work. Just keep trying.
Kwiyuh Michael Wepngong
Community Champion
Financial Management Specialist | US Peace Corps
Yaounde, Centre, Cameroon
Cassandras are invaluable to an organisation
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