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What’s the difference between Analogous and parametric Estimating?

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Richard Darko Tema, Greater Accra, Ghana
ANALOGOUS estimating is a technique for estimating the duration or cost of an activity or a project using *historical* data from a similar activity or project. Analogous estimating uses *parameters* from a previous, similar project, such as duration, budget, size, weight, and complexity, as the basis for estimating the same parameter or measure for a future project.

PARAMETRIC estimating is an estimating technique in which an algorithm is used to calculate cost or duration based on *historical* data and project *parameters.*

Two distinct methods defined by PMBOK (page 200 6th ed) using same two key words “historic” and “parameters”.
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Vincent Guerard Coach - Trainer - Speaker - Advisor| Freelance Mont-Royal, Quebec, Canada
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Mohamed Eldafrawy ALHUSSAINI Automation New Cairo, C, Egypt
Analogous Estimating Example:
Suppose you're tasked with estimating the duration of a new software development project. You've completed similar projects in the past, and based on your experience:

- Project A, which was similar in scope and complexity, took 6 months to complete.
- Project B, which had comparable features and team size, took 8 months to complete.

Using analogous estimating, you might estimate that the new project will also take around 7 months to complete, assuming it falls somewhere between the durations of Project A and Project B.

Parametric Estimating Example:
Imagine you're estimating the cost of constructing a new office building. You have historical data on construction costs per square foot from previous projects. Based on this data:

- Project X, a 10,000 square foot office building, cost $1,000,000 to construct.
- Project Y, a 15,000 square foot office building, cost $1,500,000 to construct.

Using parametric estimating, you can calculate a cost per square foot:

- Cost per square foot for Project X = $1,000,000 / 10,000 sq ft = $100/sq ft
- Cost per square foot for Project Y = $1,500,000 / 15,000 sq ft = $100/sq ft

The average cost per square foot across both projects is $100. Now, if your new office building is estimated to be 12,000 square feet, you can use the parametric estimate to calculate the total cost:

- Total cost = $100/sq ft * 12,000 sq ft = $1,200,000

So, parametric estimating allows you to make estimates based on a mathematical relationship between project parameters (in this case, square footage) and cost.
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