Program Manager, PPM&PMO Specialist.| Coppel, Mexico.Culiacán, Sinaloa, Mexico
Colleaiues, in my department we're organizing a workshop to address the common challenges we face when creating project schedules, especially getting accurate estimations. I'd love to hear from your experiences!
What are the biggest challengues you encounter when building project schedules? Is it:
Underestimating task durations?
Dealing with resource constraints?
Managing dependencies between tasks?
Something else entirely?
What strategies do you find most effective for improving schedule accuracy? Any tips or insights you can share would be greatly appreciated!
Thanks in advance for your contributions! Francisco
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten AssociatesNew Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
Francisco, in my experience, one of the biggest challenges in building accurate project schedules today is navigating the high level of uncertainty and volatility in the market. External factors such as geopolitical shifts, changing tariffs, inflationary pressures, and fluctuating economic conditions can have a significant and often unpredictable impact on project timelines and resource availability.
These factors make it particularly difficult to provide reliable estimates, as assumptions made early on may quickly become outdated. To mitigate these risks, I’ve found that incorporating contingency buffers, regularly revisiting and updating schedules, and maintaining close communication with key stakeholders are essential strategies. Additionally, scenario planning by considering best-case, worst-case, and most-likely outcomes helps improve flexibility and responsiveness throughout the project lifecycle.
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1 reply by Francisco Herrera
Aug 20, 2025 6:02 PM
Francisco Herrera
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Rami thanks for sharing these insights! It's definitely a challenge to build accurate schedules with so much uncertainty in the market.
I'm curious, how do you integrate these regular schedule updates and scenario planning with your change control process? In my company we only have 3 chances to update the schedule without penaly in the project grade!
Program Manager| HARPER SRLSanto Domingo / Distrito Nacional, Dominican Republic
I think schedule building is one of those things that looks simple on paper but gets tricky in practice. At least for me, the biggest challenges are usually:
Optimism bias in estimates, because usually teams tend to underestimate effort because they think in “happy path” terms. I’ve seen this especially in tasks involving new technology.
Also the hidden dependencies, you can map out tasks, but there are always those invisible cross-team dependencies that only surface once you’re mid-execution.
Something else I'm pretty sure we all have experienced a lot is the resource availability vs. reality: People are often allocated 100% on paper, but in reality they’re juggling multiple projects, support work, or even unplanned requests.
And finally changing scope mid-flight, I mean, even small scope shifts can ripple across the schedule, but they’re rarely factored into initial estimates.
So, some of the things that helped me here were:
- Running estimation workshops where multiple team members give input (planning poker, three-point estimation), I think it really balances optimism.
- Building buffers at key milestones (not just the end) so there’s flexibility without blowing up the whole plan.
- Using a rolling-wave approach, because you could plan high-level for the long term, but detail only the near-term phases where you have more certainty.
There are probably more things I've tried; nothing else comes to my mind, though, but at the end of the day, it’s a mix of discipline and humility: assume things will change, and build schedules that can absorb that.
I especially appreciate your point about the "happy path" bias. It's so true that teams often underestimate effort because they focus on the ideal scenario, ignoring potential roadblocks and hidden dependencies. This is a constant struggle! As well as your comments in 100% allocation and dependencies.
Your suggestions for mitigating these risks – estimation workshops, milestone buffers, and rolling-wave planning – are excellent strategies. Thanks again for sharing!
Program Manager, PPM&PMO Specialist.| Coppel, Mexico.Culiacán, Sinaloa, Mexico
Aug 19, 2025 1:16 PM
Replying to Rami Kaibni
...
Francisco, in my experience, one of the biggest challenges in building accurate project schedules today is navigating the high level of uncertainty and volatility in the market. External factors such as geopolitical shifts, changing tariffs, inflationary pressures, and fluctuating economic conditions can have a significant and often unpredictable impact on project timelines and resource availability.
These factors make it particularly difficult to provide reliable estimates, as assumptions made early on may quickly become outdated. To mitigate these risks, I’ve found that incorporating contingency buffers, regularly revisiting and updating schedules, and maintaining close communication with key stakeholders are essential strategies. Additionally, scenario planning by considering best-case, worst-case, and most-likely outcomes helps improve flexibility and responsiveness throughout the project lifecycle.
Rami thanks for sharing these insights! It's definitely a challenge to build accurate schedules with so much uncertainty in the market.
I'm curious, how do you integrate these regular schedule updates and scenario planning with your change control process? In my company we only have 3 chances to update the schedule without penaly in the project grade!
Program Manager, PPM&PMO Specialist.| Coppel, Mexico.Culiacán, Sinaloa, Mexico
Aug 19, 2025 3:41 PM
Replying to Lissette Indhira Pimentel Sosa
...
I think schedule building is one of those things that looks simple on paper but gets tricky in practice. At least for me, the biggest challenges are usually:
Optimism bias in estimates, because usually teams tend to underestimate effort because they think in “happy path” terms. I’ve seen this especially in tasks involving new technology.
Also the hidden dependencies, you can map out tasks, but there are always those invisible cross-team dependencies that only surface once you’re mid-execution.
Something else I'm pretty sure we all have experienced a lot is the resource availability vs. reality: People are often allocated 100% on paper, but in reality they’re juggling multiple projects, support work, or even unplanned requests.
And finally changing scope mid-flight, I mean, even small scope shifts can ripple across the schedule, but they’re rarely factored into initial estimates.
So, some of the things that helped me here were:
- Running estimation workshops where multiple team members give input (planning poker, three-point estimation), I think it really balances optimism.
- Building buffers at key milestones (not just the end) so there’s flexibility without blowing up the whole plan.
- Using a rolling-wave approach, because you could plan high-level for the long term, but detail only the near-term phases where you have more certainty.
There are probably more things I've tried; nothing else comes to my mind, though, but at the end of the day, it’s a mix of discipline and humility: assume things will change, and build schedules that can absorb that.
I especially appreciate your point about the "happy path" bias. It's so true that teams often underestimate effort because they focus on the ideal scenario, ignoring potential roadblocks and hidden dependencies. This is a constant struggle! As well as your comments in 100% allocation and dependencies.
Your suggestions for mitigating these risks – estimation workshops, milestone buffers, and rolling-wave planning – are excellent strategies. Thanks again for sharing!
Saving Changes...
Sergio Luis ConteHelping to create solutions for everyone| Worldwide based OrganizationsBuenos Aires, Argentina
You will find all you need to know in Barry Bohem´s Cone of Uncertainty work.
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1 reply by Francisco Herrera
Sep 01, 2025 12:16 PM
Francisco Herrera
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Thanks Sergio! this is a book? post?
Francisco
Saving Changes...
Luis BrancoCEO| Business Insight, Consultores de Gestão, LdªCarcavelos, Lisboa, Portugal
Hi Francisco Herrera, what a valuable initiative — and a crucial topic!
From my experience across both predictive and hybrid environments, the biggest challenges in building reliable schedules often fall into three interdependent traps:
- Over-optimism and underestimation — especially in early phases where scope is fluid and pressure is high.
Parkinson’s Law and the Planning Fallacy often sneak in unnoticed.
- Resource realism — not just availability, but actual productivity, multitasking overheads, and competing priorities.
- Invisible dependencies — especially cross-team or external ones that aren't visible in the WBS but can disrupt everything.
What helps?
- Progressive elaboration + rolling wave planning, especially when uncertainty is high.
- Three-point estimates (PERT) to expose variability — even if only informally.
- Historical data + post-mortems — past projects are goldmines of realism.
- Critical Chain thinking, to reduce multitasking and protect delivery dates with buffers.
And above all: collaborative scheduling.
When the team builds the plan with you — not just receives it — ownership, accuracy, and commitment increase dramatically.
Looking forward to learning from others’ insights as well!
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1 reply by Francisco Herrera
Sep 02, 2025 12:14 PM
Francisco Herrera
...
Luis collaborative scheduling, when the team builds the plan with you, rather than just receiving it, ownership, accuracy, and commitment increase dramatically. That's absolutely key!
Francisco.
Program Manager, PPM&PMO Specialist.| Coppel, Mexico.Culiacán, Sinaloa, Mexico
Aug 31, 2025 11:03 AM
Replying to Luis Branco
...
Hi Francisco Herrera, what a valuable initiative — and a crucial topic!
From my experience across both predictive and hybrid environments, the biggest challenges in building reliable schedules often fall into three interdependent traps:
- Over-optimism and underestimation — especially in early phases where scope is fluid and pressure is high.
Parkinson’s Law and the Planning Fallacy often sneak in unnoticed.
- Resource realism — not just availability, but actual productivity, multitasking overheads, and competing priorities.
- Invisible dependencies — especially cross-team or external ones that aren't visible in the WBS but can disrupt everything.
What helps?
- Progressive elaboration + rolling wave planning, especially when uncertainty is high.
- Three-point estimates (PERT) to expose variability — even if only informally.
- Historical data + post-mortems — past projects are goldmines of realism.
- Critical Chain thinking, to reduce multitasking and protect delivery dates with buffers.
And above all: collaborative scheduling.
When the team builds the plan with you — not just receives it — ownership, accuracy, and commitment increase dramatically.
Looking forward to learning from others’ insights as well!
Luis collaborative scheduling, when the team builds the plan with you, rather than just receiving it, ownership, accuracy, and commitment increase dramatically. That's absolutely key!
Francisco. Saving Changes...
The biggest challenge I've faced with estimating project schedules has consistently been the lack of understanding of what an estimate is. Maybe I'm being a little academic, but in my experience there is a significant difference in the level of accuracy between a ROM estimate and a definitive estimate, and it seems like many stakeholders want to treat EVERY estimate like a final estimate. You can try and explain accuracy ranges and the cone of uncertainty, but it falls on deaf ears when people want confidence and commitment. I understand that there are a lot of moving parts and pieces in a business, and being able to forecast what will be done, when, is important for planning when to pursue and meet critical business objectives. However, when you're team is doing something that they've never done before AND it's new to the business so they're not entirely certain what all the requirements are, it's difficult to commit to more than when the next update will be.
What I've done about this is not a silver bullet. You explain where things are and when you will provide more information. If you need more resources to be able to provide better estimates, ask for them. Be consistent and show progress. A good example of this would be a project, several years ago, to replace an aging ERP. Nobody wanted to hear that it would take at least 18 months for full implementation, so we asked for a couple months to scope things out so we could produce a more accurate (budget) estimate. The original estimate was within expected variance and now we had a more detailed plan to back up the estimate.
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1 reply by Francisco Herrera
Sep 03, 2025 12:38 PM
Francisco Herrera
...
Aaron Porter abiout the importance of managing expectations and educating stakeholders about the nature of estimates, It's so true that many people want to treat every estimate as a final commitment, even when there's a high degree of uncertainty. Explaining the accuracy ranges and the cone of uncertainty is crucial, as is asking for the resources needed to provide better estimates.
Francisco.
Program Manager, PPM&PMO Specialist.| Coppel, Mexico.Culiacán, Sinaloa, Mexico
Sep 03, 2025 10:08 AM
Replying to Aaron Porter
...
The biggest challenge I've faced with estimating project schedules has consistently been the lack of understanding of what an estimate is. Maybe I'm being a little academic, but in my experience there is a significant difference in the level of accuracy between a ROM estimate and a definitive estimate, and it seems like many stakeholders want to treat EVERY estimate like a final estimate. You can try and explain accuracy ranges and the cone of uncertainty, but it falls on deaf ears when people want confidence and commitment. I understand that there are a lot of moving parts and pieces in a business, and being able to forecast what will be done, when, is important for planning when to pursue and meet critical business objectives. However, when you're team is doing something that they've never done before AND it's new to the business so they're not entirely certain what all the requirements are, it's difficult to commit to more than when the next update will be.
What I've done about this is not a silver bullet. You explain where things are and when you will provide more information. If you need more resources to be able to provide better estimates, ask for them. Be consistent and show progress. A good example of this would be a project, several years ago, to replace an aging ERP. Nobody wanted to hear that it would take at least 18 months for full implementation, so we asked for a couple months to scope things out so we could produce a more accurate (budget) estimate. The original estimate was within expected variance and now we had a more detailed plan to back up the estimate.
Aaron Porter abiout the importance of managing expectations and educating stakeholders about the nature of estimates, It's so true that many people want to treat every estimate as a final commitment, even when there's a high degree of uncertainty. Explaining the accuracy ranges and the cone of uncertainty is crucial, as is asking for the resources needed to provide better estimates.
Francisco. Saving Changes...