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Read this great article from the NY times by one of my favorite business writers Clayton Christensen. It was written just a few days before the presidential elections in which Obama came out the eventual victor and discusses the dilemma facing our capitalist system which has been experiencing a lethargic interest as of late. As he states:
Capitalists seem almost uninterested in capitalism, even as entrepreneurs eager to start companies find that they can’t get financing. Businesses and investors sound like the Ancient Mariner, who complained of “Water, water everywhere — nor any drop to drink.”
It’s a paradox, and at its nexus is what I’ll call the Doctrine of New Finance, which is taught with increasingly religious zeal by economists, and at times even by business professors like me who have failed to challenge it. This doctrine embraces measures of profitability that guide capitalists away from investments that can create real economic growth.
Christensen goes on to describe three models of innovations that investors and executives would typically finance with their capital:
- Empowering Innovations - Examples of these include the Ford Model T or Sony's transistor radio. These kinds of innovations "create jobs, because they require more and more people who can build, distribute, sell and service these products. Empowering investments also use capital — to expand capacity and to finance receivables and inventory."
- Sustaining Innovations - This is where old products are replaced by new ones. The Toyota Prius is used as an example, but as Christensen states, they "replace yesterday’s products with today’s products and create few jobs. They keep our economy vibrant — and, in dollars, they account for the most innovation. But they have a neutral effect on economic activity and on capital."
- Efficiency Innovations - These are used exclusively to reduce the cost of making and distributing existing products and services. It is very similar to the "Lean" method, but "such innovations almost always reduce the net number of jobs, because they streamline processes. But they also preserve many of the remaining jobs — because without them entire companies and industries would disappear in competition against companies abroad that have innovated more efficiently."
His argument, I think a very valid one, is that the world has been focused almost exclusively on the innovations of efficiency since the start of the recent great recession. But such innovations "also emancipate capital. Without them, much of an economy’s capital is held captive on balance sheets, with no way to redeploy it as fuel for new, empowering innovations. For example, Toyota’s just-in-time production system is an efficiency innovation, letting manufacturers operate with much less capital invested in inventory."
The discussion goes on to describe how these innovation movements typically cycle themselves through a normal economic period of growth and recession creating an almost organic like system that regulates itself like a homeostatic organism. But the most scary part of his article is the description of this current economic downturn and how it fits into an overall pattern of being increasingly prolonged:
In the last three recoveries, however, America’s economic engine has emitted sounds we’d never heard before. The 1990 recovery took 15 months, not the typical six, to reach the prerecession peaks of economic performance. After the 2001 recession, it took 39 months to get out of the valley. And now our machine has been grinding for 60 months, trying to hit its prerecession levels — and it’s not clear whether, when or how we’re going to get there. The economic machine is out of balance and losing its horsepower. But why?
The answer is that efficiency innovations are liberating capital, and in the United States this capital is being reinvested into still more efficiency innovations. In contrast, America is generating many fewer empowering innovations than in the past. We need to reset the balance between empowering and efficiency innovations.
So this prolonged downturn has created a perpetual cycle of feeding efficiency innovations to more and more efficiency innovations. I can relate this in real terms as the projects I've been involved with have had "efficiency" as it goal front and central with very little sustaining and practically none of the empowering innovations Christensen outlines.
So the implications are that this is not only a capitalist's dilemma, but a dilemma for the Agile project leader as well. Lean is a great tool that is at the disposal of the Agile project leader, but it is not the only one. Agile is at heart a method that was tailor made for empowering innovations since it allows one to test out and try new innovative products and services, the very ones that will create the new jobs of tomorrow.
Christensen's framework is a brilliant way to view your pipeline of projects and to ensure they are the right mix that will not only create efficiencies and sustain existing products and services, but to empower growth that will propel not only your organization's portfolio of products and services, but you and your team's personal and professional growth.
Some food for thought!
Capitalists seem almost uninterested in capitalism, even as entrepreneurs eager to start companies find that they can’t get financing. Businesses and investors sound like the Ancient Mariner, who complained of “Water, water everywhere — nor any drop to drink.”
It’s a paradox, and at its nexus is what I’ll call the Doctrine of New Finance, which is taught with increasingly religious zeal by economists, and at times even by business professors like me who have failed to challenge it. This doctrine embraces measures of profitability that guide capitalists away from investments that can create real economic growth.
Posted on: November 09, 2012 06:31 PM |
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