Save Your Project From These Seven Deadly Risk Management Sins
From the Easy in theory, difficult in practice Blog
by Kiron Bondale
My musings on project management, project portfolio management and change management.
I'm a firm believer that a pragmatic approach to organizational change that addresses process & technology, but primarily, people will maximize chances for success.
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Ask almost anyone who has worked on a project whether they believe that risk management is important and you will be unlikely to hear otherwise.
So why do we continue to struggle with implementing risk management practices in an appropriate, value-focused manner?
Ineffective risk descriptions – your team might have identified a high severity risk which requires an immediate response, but if the risk description isn’t meaningful to your stakeholders, it is unlikely to generate the sense of urgency you were hoping for. When in doubt, share the descriptions of your key risks with a trusted peer who is not very familiar with your project and ask them if they perceive the need for a call to action.
Insufficient divergence or convergence – when identifying risks, you want to cast as wide a net as possible. A key expectation is that you will be able to transform as many critical unknown-unknowns into known-unknowns as possible. Having a broad, diverse set of participants and using techniques such as brain-writing can push past the inertia of just identifying obvious, low hanging risks. However, once it comes time to analyze and respond, focusing needs to occur on the vital few, leaving the remainder on watch-lists for occasional monitoring.
Addiction to mitigation – I’d written previously about the benefits of considering all response strategies, especially when facing a particularly nasty threat. To channel Mr. Miyagi “Best way to avoid punch, no be there”. Trying to convince your sponsor to reduce scope early in the project to avoid a critical risk might not be a conversation you look forward to, but it’s likely going to be a lot more pleasant discussion than the one you’ll have if the risk gets realized.
Failure to refresh – the risk register must be considered a living document for it to provide any value. As your project progresses and changes occur, if you don’t iterate back through the identification, analysis, and response development processes, the efforts spent at the beginning of the project on these is wasted. A longer term outcome of this behavior is that team members and other key stakeholders will be even less likely to commit their efforts to risk management.
Assumptions don’t get analyzed – assumptions are an important input into risk identification. Until an assumption is validated, there is always the likelihood of it being wrong, and if so, this could impact the project. Not only is it important to capture key assumptions made while planning the project but it is a good idea to review them at a regular interval to test their validity so that appropriate responses can be executed. This is another good reason to have a diverse group of stakeholders involved in risk management procedures – the narrower the selection, the greater the likelihood that assumptions won’t get challenged or revisited.
Lessons don’t get learned – the issues which occurred on one project should provide a clear warning to future projects. As part of the preparation for a risk identification session, a review of some key lessons identified on completed projects which bear any similarity to yours might yield some gems to review with the team during the session. Empirical evidence of the realization of some risks on past projects can go a long way towards overcoming biases.
Letting risk owners of the hook – risk management is only marginally useful if it doesn’t result in any change. If you are unable to secure the attention of your risk owners and maintain it through to the successful development and implementation of response strategies, you’ll be as effective as Cassandra – foretelling doom without the ability to convince anyone to act on it. In addition, if your risk owners avoid their responsibilities without follow-up and escalation from yourself, the message you will be reinforcing is that there’s little value in risk management.
We all know that it’s in our best interests to eat a balanced diet, exercise regularly, get plenty of sleep, and avoid or at most moderately indulge in vices. It’s demonstrating discipline, focus, and persistence to put it into practice where most of us fail. This might happen because the returns of following good personal health habits like these don’t get earned immediately. The same can be said of project risk management – benefits realization lags behind the effort invested.
Johann Wolfgang von Goethe - “Knowing is not enough; we must apply. Willing is not enough; we must do.”
(Note: This article was originally written and published by me in March 2016 on Projecttimes.com)
Posted on: January 16, 2018 08:23 AM |
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Comments (16)
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Rami Kaibni
Community Champion
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten Associates
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
Drew Craig
Sr. Agile & Product Coach| Vanguard
Philadelphia, Pa, United States
All really great points. Appreciate the post.
Thanks Eduin, Rami & Andrew!
Kiron
Good article Kiron, thanks.
Anish Abraham
Privacy Program Manager| University of Washington
Auburn, Wa, United States
Informative article, Kiron and thanks for sharing.
Risk is the main cause of uncertainty in a project.
Well said Kiron "transform as many critical unknown-unknowns into known-unknowns as possible"
Vincent Guerard
Coach - Trainer - Speaker - Advisor| Freelance
Mont-Royal, Quebec, Canada
Nice set of sins, specially the assumptions
Denise Canty
Agile Coach, Life Coach, Author, Senior Project-Program Manager| Cenden Company
Washington, Dc, United States
Never let risk owners off the hook! Agree.
Hi Kiron, nice points. I like especially the one regarding the failure to refresh. Risk management is an iterative process and risks can be identified throughout the project. The likelihood to identify new risks decreases with the advance of the project but the gravity of the consequences increases. Thank you for the article.
Thanks guys! (Undocumented or unvalidated) Assumptions are the bane of a PM's life. Stale risk data is also one of my personal pet peeves - it's the quickest way I can assess whether a team is operating in an disciplined manner or not.
Very nice article. I would also stress the fact that risk management requires involvement of various project stakeholders. In particular your project sponsor, key users, etc. This may seem obvious but in real life we may focus on using our team which is at hand, and miss the customer who is usually very busy developing the business.
Henry Hattenrath
Project Consultant| Tectonic Engineering MSA LLC
New York, Ny, United States
Kiron
All good points for Project Managers and Program Managers to be aware of regarding risk management. The sins provide a list of topics for periodic management meetings for reviewing, assessing and updating the inputs and output for risk management plans (RMP) in the PMP.
Another sin might be "Leaving the RMP on the Shelf." More often than not, Risk is not a topic discussed at project meetings because like other component plans in the PMP, once approved its put on auto-pilot. It is up the PM and Program Manager to actualize its value by using it throughout the project execution.
Henry
Jaeho Cho
Director of PM/PMO. Look for opportunities| self-employeed
Seoul, South Korea
As the every project members can not be the best of best in the organization, the level of identification of risk is differ from each other that create a serious difference in performance. To identify the risk as many as possible, every lessons learned shall be recorded as soon as identified and shared all the peoples even working for other projects.
Thanks Krzysztof - agreed, you have to spread your net quite wide to bring in a good set of diverse stakeholders for risk identification & assessment!
Thanks Henry - a stale RMP is a useless RMP - couldn't agree more!
Thanks Jaeho - knowledge capture and dissemination is a great way to improve organizational risk management effectiveness.
Jim Branden
Senior Project Manager| Retired from UNC Charlotte - IT Services - PPMO
Charlotte, Nc, United States
Kiron, thank you for a well-structured presentation of one of my favorite topics in PM. Semantics and vocabulary carry their own risks! To paraphrase Mr. Miyagi, The best way to avoid unknown-unknowns, keep out of contract. Many PMs forget that the Contract, Project Charter, and Scope Statement all may include exclusions from the project. In the past, using all three of those documents with exclusion lists reduced the negative threats to projects and greatly increased the probability of success.
Two comments on & time to analyze and respond, focusing needs to occur on the vital few, leaving the remainder & First, every identified risk must have some (at least qualitative) analysis and prioritization to identify the remainder (PMI� calls these residual risks). Second, the PM needs to include three things to deal with residual risk: 1-time / budget to watch the list (of residuals), 2-time to respond to the risks that become reality, and 3-budget to pay for the actual responses to the altered reality (no longer a risk when the probability = 100%!)
Jim
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