The perils of percentage availability...
From the Easy in theory, difficult in practice Blog
by Kiron Bondale
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I'm a firm believer that a pragmatic approach to organizational change that addresses process & technology, but primarily, people will maximize chances for success.
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Through education or experience most of us learn early in our project management careers about the dangers of using percentage complete for any activity where the work completed cannot be reliably measured. This is unfortunately the case for most knowledge-based work.
While a contractor can examine a wall being built and verify what percent of the work is complete based on how much of the wall has been finished, a development lead looking at the source code for a given function will be unable to come up with more than an educated guess as to what the true status of developing that function is. That is why we are encouraged to ask objective questions such as "How many hours of work is remaining?" or better yet, to utilize conservative reporting methods such as 0% and 100% or (for those in the agile delivery space) Not Done and Done Done.
So why wouldn't this also apply to resource availability?
Unless you are benefiting from either a project-oriented or a long lived team, chances are your team members will not be dedicated to your project.
I'm not referring to the normally expected non-project activities that everyone incurs such as department meetings, HR activities and so on. While there is an ebb and flow to those, there is usually a combination of historical data (e.g. at least 20% of the month before fiscal year end has been proven to be spent on annual performance review activities) and personal plans such as team vacation calendars to provide confidence about those estimates.
What concerns me is when a people manager gives me a percentage availability. "I can't provide Bob full-time, but I can give him to you for 50%". This occurs so frequently that we rarely challenge it unless we are sure that a staffing shortfall will critically impact our project's objectives.
But what does 50% of Bob really mean?
- Is it 3.5-4 hours per day, every day for the duration of the project?
- Is it Mondays, Tuesdays & half of Wednesdays for the duration of the project?
- Is it Mondays, Tuesdays one week and Wednesdays, Thursdays & Fridays the next week?
- Is it 75% time for half the duration of my project and 25% for the second half of the project?
- Or (and this is the most likely case) is it that at the end of the project, if I divided Bob's actual hours spent working on my project by the potential hours he might have worked if he had been allocated full time, it will be close to 50%?
And what will be the impact to your timelines and other project success criteria if you made the wrong assumption?
So the next time someone gives you a percentage availability commitment for a team member, ask a few questions to really understand how much time that person will be dedicating to your project and when.
If your body temperature is average but half of you is in a freezer and the other half is in an oven you aren't likely to be too happy!
Posted on: July 15, 2018 07:00 AM |
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Comments (15)
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Drew Craig
Sr. Agile & Product Coach| Vanguard
Philadelphia, Pa, United States
Partial allocations. It is a double (or triple) edged sword. Can certainly be warranted, but also can be restrictive because the work exceeds the allocation.
Thanks Andrew - it's the unpredictability about it that really bothers me as you can make the maths work on paper, but reality rarely is as disciplined!
Kiron
Drew Craig
Sr. Agile & Product Coach| Vanguard
Philadelphia, Pa, United States
Yeah, ain’t that the truth. The chess game of resource allocation in the form of roles, numbers, and arithmetic.
Kiron / Andrew nice approach and good example
Rami Kaibni
Community Champion
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten Associates
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
Indeed very good point Kiron
Thanks Riyadh & Rami!
Kiron
Thanks for sharing Kiron. This is really a big mess and at times i feel the term " % availability" is a fancy...as we do not know that 50% available is through out the project or last few days!!!.
Nice share and once again many thanks for sharing,
Good stuff Kiron. Aside from availability, there is the issue of productivity which can render one person's availability more/less valuable than the other.
Good points, Kiron. It happens in our many projects. Thanks for sharing..
It's always good for a stark reminder from time to time about how fallible our tools really are. Thanks, Kiron!
Vivek Gondi
Team Lead | Legato Health Technologies
India
Many times in our work the last 20% takes more time to complete in contrast to everyone's expectations.
The closing stages are the toughest as it involves integration with many teams, systems and processes.
Good article.
Rakesh Bhat
Associate| An engineering consultancy firm
New Delhi, Delhi, India
Good point Kiron and it stresses out both PMs (who are going to share this resource equally or to some defined percentage). Percentage method may be good only for management reporting and / or dashboard reporting tools. But the fact is we are required to share resources and each TL / PM has to make use best use of the time the resource is devoting on the project. What I have seen such situations responsibility may be defined accurately but accountability on all fronts take a hit. Better to define task based allotment rather than time / percentage based allotment.
Damian Perera
Monitoring & Evaluation Specialist| Chrysalis
Mellawagedara, Western Province, Sri Lanka
Percentages & proportions do not mean what they say unless they are correctly interpreted. Without knowing what they exactly imply, it's risky to make assumptions.
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