Looking into the Future
From the Emerging Technologies Blog
by Kevin Coleman
UPDATED MAY 2020 - This blog will appear monthly from now on. Today, all organizations depend on technological innovation in order to sustain their existence. Analysis of emerging technologies and identification of those technologies with the greatest potential is essential to being prepared for upcoming projects. The objective of this blog is to establish future oriented technology analysis and insights. This blog was established to provide program and project managers with information about these emerging technologies. These emerging technologies have far reaching repercussions for program and project managers. This blog will jump-start the learning process and allow program and project managers to become proactive.
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Date
Looking back, I remember my first personal computer in the early 1980s, the first time logging into an online service (CompuServe - over a 300 baud dial up modem by Radio Shack) in the early 1980s as well, my first IBM PC compatible computer (640k of memory and 20 meg hard-drive), the introductions of servers (no longer just mainframes), cell phones, the introduction of the web browser (NETSCAPE), smartphones, and so much more. This technology evolution took decades.
Now the massive advancements and introduction of numerous emerging technologies are beginning to minimize the ability to assess their disruptive changes on one hand, and planning their strategic integration on the other. This is beginning to have a huge impact on nearly every aspect of our lives (business and personal). A short distance ahead we can begin to get a glimpse of what our business and personal lives might be like with all of the emerging technologies culminating into the high-tech world of tomorrow.
Some seem to think it is already hear. Others believe it is vastly overstated and may never come to fruition. What we have begun to experience is without question the new normal. The new normal is the inflection point where multiple technologies rapidly move from the research and experimental phase to real-world commercial application and a topic on the agenda of board meetings. This period will only take a few years (3 to 5).
The big question on the minds of strategists and business leaders is what should we expect to be the next normal? Perhaps that should be on the minds of every program and project manager as well. All too often we are so caught-up in the trials and tribulations of delivering current programs and projects, future planning falls by the wayside. Don’t you think it would be best if we all take steps and begin to prepare for this coming period of rapid, dynamic change whether it is in 2025 or beyond. After all we will be expected to deliver it! I think we all would be much better off that way.
INSIGHT: John Sculley former Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Apple in the early 80s said, “The future belongs to those who see possibilities before they become obvious.”
Posted on: November 21, 2019 10:10 AM |
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Comments (14)
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Luis Branco
CEO| Business Insight, Consultores de Gestão, Ldª
Carcavelos, Lisboa, Portugal
Dear Kevin
Interesting reflection
Thanks for sharing
I liked the "new normal" concept
I am from the time when computer programs were made on prefabricated cards ...
A few years later, floppy disk to insert the operating system and floppy disk to exempt the program :-)
Kevin Coleman
Subject Matter Expert, Author, Speaker and Strategic Advisor| - Insights
Pa, United States
I remember the 'punch cards' as well as the 8" floppy, the 5.25" floppy and finally the 3.5" floppy. I also remember writing code - 360 basic assembler. Now I am beginning to think/research about 2030 technologies.
Rami Kaibni
Community Champion
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten Associates
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
Good Question Kevin - I keep asking myself this question even on a personal level: What is the new normal ?
I guess what the new normal will be is hard to predict given how fast the world is evolving but we will have more clarity in the next few years I assume.
Kevin Coleman
Subject Matter Expert, Author, Speaker and Strategic Advisor| - Insights
Pa, United States
Rami, this is the first time in my 30 years I am not confident in identifying the technology or technologies that will create the new norm. The PC was easy as was the introduction of servers and the Cellphone, Internet and Smartphone. So much is changing!
Rami Kaibni
Community Champion
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten Associates
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
Tell me about it Kevin - If you are the expert and not confident about the new norm then you can imagine how I feel about it !
Kevin Coleman
Subject Matter Expert, Author, Speaker and Strategic Advisor| - Insights
Pa, United States
Oh I am only the expert if you subscribe to my definition!
Expert = X meaning former and Spirt meaning drip under pressure
Rami Kaibni
Community Champion
Senior Projects Manager | Field & Marten Associates
New Westminster, British Columbia, Canada
Interesting Definition Kevin :-)
Luis Branco
CEO| Business Insight, Consultores de Gestão, Ldª
Carcavelos, Lisboa, Portugal
Dear Kevin
We are in tune.
"Now I'm starting to think / research about 2030 technologies"
Luis Branco
CEO| Business Insight, Consultores de Gestão, Ldª
Carcavelos, Lisboa, Portugal
Dear Kevin
Do you know the 5G? How will it affect our lives?
TUSEEF AHMED KHAN
Project Engineer(Power Distribution)| Saudi Electricity Company Saudi arabia
Karachi, Pakistan
Kevin Coleman
Subject Matter Expert, Author, Speaker and Strategic Advisor| - Insights
Pa, United States
@ Luis Good question. This comes up frequently. 5G will be a bit further out due to the cost $$$ and amount of infrastructure that needs to be changed/installed, tested, in place and operational before the impact will be broad enough for the significant impact!
The future is easy to predict; just depends how far you look ahead lol
Thank you for the thought provoking blog. Appreciate you for stirring our thoughts in to a new, futuristic direction.
First it reminded me of a metaphor from Lion King - “You must look beyond what you can see!” and then the famous quote on change - "Nothing is constant but change"!
Part of our Evolution is that there won't be a "new normal" but changes are perennial! Sustainable and innovative companies will always flourish. Best way to prepare is to continuously experiment with new ideas/methods, fail fast, empower teams, open to challenges, ....
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