Project Management

Payback Period: A Beginner’s Guide

From the The Money Files Blog
by
A blog that looks at all aspects of project and program finances from budgets, estimating and accounting to getting a pay rise and managing contracts. Written by Elizabeth Harrin from RebelsGuideToPM.com.

About this Blog

RSS

Recent Posts

How to learn AI the sensible way

Making sense of project cost reports

How real PM mentoring actually works

The Accidental Product Manager: What project managers need to know

How healthy are your project finances?

Categories

accounting, agile, ai, appraisals, Artificial Intelligence, audit, Backlog, Benchmarking, benefits, Benefits Management, Benefits Realization, Bias, books, budget, Business Case, business case, business case, Career Development, Career Development, carnival, case study, Change Management, checklist, collaboration tools, communication, Communications Management, competition, complex projects, Conferences, config management, consultancy, contingency, contracts, corporate finance, corporate finance, cost, Cost Management, cost management, credit crunch, CRM, data, data security, debate, Decision Making, delegating, digite, earned value, Education, Energy and Utilities, Estimating, events, FAQ, financial management, financial management, forecasting, future, GDPR, general, Goals, Governance, green, Information Technology, Innovation, insurance, interviews, it, Knowledge Management, Leadership, Lessons Learned, measuring performance, Mentoring, merger, methods, metrics, multiple projects, negotiating, Networking, news, Olympics, organization, Organizational Culture, outsourcing, personal finance, Planning, pmi, PMO, PMO, Portfolio Management, portfolio management, presentations, privacy policy, process, procurement, product management, productivity, Program Management, project closure, project data, project delivery, Project Success, project testing, prototyping, qualifications, Quality, quality, Quarterly Review, records, recruitment, reports, requirements, research, resilience, Resource Management, resources, risk, Risk Management, ROI, salaries, Schedule Management, Scheduling, scope, Scope Management, security, small projects, Social Impact, social impact, social media, software, software, software, Stakeholder Management, stakeholders, Strategy, success factors, supplier management, team, Teams, testing, testing, timesheets, tips, training, transparency, trends, value management, vendors, video, virtual teams, workflow

Date

linkedin twitter facebook Request to reuse this  

Categories: business case


Payback period is an investment analysis technique and it’s personally one of my favourite tools to use for investment appraisal because in my view it’s the easiest to understand of the tools at my disposal.

Today I’m going to work through an example to show you what it looks like. But before we do that, let’s remind ourselves why we might want to use it at all.

Why Do An Investment Appraisal?

Investment appraisals are what goes into your business case to show why your project is financially viable. They are decision-making tools.

The investment appraisal also allows the decision makers to compare your project with others, which they’ll need to do as all the projects are competing for the same corporate funds. The figures from the investment appraisal, and the associated blurb in the business case, confirm why the project is worth the investment based on forecasted cost and time. It justifies the project based on the expected benefits.

So, investment appraisals matter because they help get your business case approved. Obviously, if the numbers don’t stack up then your project doesn’t get approved. Investment appraisal techniques help you show the cost and benefits of your project in a way that makes it easy to compare with others.

What Is Payback Period?

There’s a little video I made about payback period here, but in essence it’s this:

Payback period is the time taken to recoup the project investment.

Let’s take an example.

A project costs £1,000,000. The benefits are:

  • Year 1: £500k
  • Year 2: £300k
  • Year 3: £200k
  • Year 4: £200k
  • Year 5: £200k

As you can see from the graph below, the project investment equals the benefits for the first three years, so the payback period is three years.

Payback period

In other words, you’ll earn back the amount spent on the project through the project’s benefits once three years have passed. At that point you ‘break even’. Benefits from Year 4 are cash in the bank.

From a business case and project justification point of view, the shorter the payback period, the better.

Problems With Payback

So far, so straightforward.

The problems come when you try to be a bit more sophisticated.

For example, payback period doesn’t take into account discount rates (how much money will be worth in the future: is the £200k benefit in Year 4 really worth the same as £200k would be today?).

As with all investment appraisal techniques you can’t measure intangible benefits in this way. Payback is only good for working out the financial side of benefits: the monetary cost and the financial benefit gained.

That makes payback period a bit crude but as long as everyone is aware of the limitations, it can still be a useful tool to forecast when the project will break even and start to turn a profit.

There are other ways that you can put financial information into your business case: Net Present Value and Discounted Cash Flow are others.

What investment appraisal techniques do you use?


Posted on: September 02, 2016 10:49 AM | Permalink

Comments (4)

Please login or join to subscribe to this item
avatar
Karthik T Senior Engineering Manager| Nike Bangalore, Karnataka, India
Great thoughts, thank you for posting.

avatar
fosco frongia Senior project manager| ENTE PATRIMONIALE CHIESA GESU' CRISTO SUG Fino Mornasco, Como, Italy
interesting article
many thanks Elizabeth

avatar
Denise Canty Agile Coach, Life Coach, Author, Senior Project-Program Manager| Cenden Company Washington, Dc, United States
I like to use Net Present Value (NPV).

avatar
Mauro Sotille Chair, Senior Consultant / Project Manager| PM Tech Consulting Porto Alegre, Rs, Brazil
Excellent explanation!

Please Login/Register to leave a comment.

ADVERTISEMENTS

"If you can't convince them, confuse them."

- Harry S. Truman

ADVERTISEMENT

Sponsors