People, Planet, Profits & Projects

Picture from WHOI (see below)

This is the last Cape Cod-themed blog post of the Summer.  Here on Cape Cod, we’re proud of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI).  It’s focused on exploring the oceans, research and educating folks about our oceans.  It is home to several famous exploration vessels, like the 274-foot Atlantis and its deep-diving submarine, “Alvin”, as well as a new research ship, the Neil Armstrong.

So you would think that if anyone, anyone, worldwide would consider sea-level rise in the construction of new infrastructure, it would be WHOI. 

And you would be spot-on.  Much of what you read here is based on a very good Cape Cod Times article entitled No Easy Answers.  This is supplemented by an excellent page dedicated to sea-level rise from none other than (you guessed it) the WHOI.  In fact, they have also produced an outstanding report, which I highly recommend you avail yourself of, by clicking here.

WHOI is going to be building a US$100M dock and waterfront support facility (really a collection of facilities), which is core to what WHOI does.  They are quite risk-aware of sea-level rise.  Along with this work WHOI is also collaborating with the nearby National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and their Northeast Fisheries Science Center and the University of Chicago’s Marine Biological Laboratory, and construction projects for those institutions.

They don’t have the option that others may – to retreat inland.  They “have to be there” in order to continue their mission:

The Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution is dedicated to advancing knowledge of the ocean and its connection with the Earth system through a sustained commitment to excellence in science, engineering, and education, and to the application of this knowledge to problems facing society.

Sound familiar to you?  It should ring a bell – note the reference to “application of knowledge”; that is part of the Project Management Institute (PMI®) definition of Project Management itself…

…the use of specific knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to deliver something of value to people

However, that’s not the main connection to project management in this blog post.  It’s much more about risk assessment, risk awareness, risk response, and implementing risk response.

The risk trigger here is scientific data that shows that the sea level will rise up to almost 2.6 feet in Woods Hole by 2050.  The impact of that rise is significant.  WHOI used data from the Massachusetts Coastal Flood Risk Model that projects the rise above as well as an 8-foot rise by 2100.  What does that mean to this proposed construction?

It means that 93% of WHOI’s infrastructure would be at risk by 2050 from a “100-year” storm surge.  So they need to take sea-level rise significantly into consideration as they build.  The approach taken will vary by institution.  The NOAA, according to the article, is taking an adaptive approach – gradually waterproofing.

Taking advantage of a nearly US$200K grant from Massachusetts’ Coastal Zone Management organization, the organizations will look to collaborate to make the infrastructure capable of withstanding the increased sea-level rise and expected storm surge(s).  More specifically, this involves raising the dock 2.5 feet with an option to put further dock surfaces above it, and/or to use steel pilings equipped with hydraulics to allow the dock to be raised higher.

The questions for others building in coastal areas:

• Are you aware of – and active in assessing and responding to – risks from sea-level rise?
• Are you basing your risk assumptions on the best and latest information (which is increasingly available and increasingly believable)?
• Are you collaborating with others to gain benefits not available if you proceeded alone?

For your stakeholders - and for yourself - I assert that you should follow the example of the WHOI.

As mentioned in the previous post (see Part 1), one outcome of climate change for Cape Cod, and in fact for anyone who likes cranberries, is the potential demise of the cranberry industry here.  This is covered in the Cape Cod Commission Climate Plan, which we introduced in Part 1, but the issue shows up in other reliable, recent sources – for example, this article from National Geographic, or this one from the Washington Post.

Reinforcing the idea that ‘triple bottom line’ thinking is not only ‘environmental’ but also economic an social, climate change and sea-level rise is not only about saving species and ‘being green’ but also about real peoples’ lives and real dollars and sense (pun and misspelling intentional).  The increasing temperatures could ‘spell the end’ for what is a US$6.7 million Cape Cod cranberry industry which employs somewhere between 6000 and 10000 people in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts.

Cranberries are prone to a ‘double-threat’ from climate change.  Increased temperatures, as above, are one aspect.  As I write this, I see that the forecast for the Cape calls for 90 degree days this week.  When that happens, it can be about 10 to 20 degrees hotter in a cranberry bog, and that can lead to a condition called ‘scald’, in which the cranberries actually cook right on the vine (and become unusable).

The other aspect of the double-threat is sea-level rise.  Below is a chart from the Cape Cod Commission report that shows bogs that are at risk due to SLR (Sea Level Rise).

But here’s the thing: the economic aspect of this is much, much, MUCH bigger than cranberries. 

For example, from the report:

Reduced tax revenue from vulnerable properties: ERG estimates that from 2021 through 2100, properties vulnerable to sea level rise and tidal flooding will cumulatively pay approximately $8.6 billion less in tax revenue than they would have if they were not threatened by this flooding. These vulnerable properties will be inundated or are near roads that will be inundated by sea level rise and tidal flooding. Therefore, their property values will grow more slowly (or decrease faster) than non-affected properties. This will either lower the tax revenue of towns or shift the burden to non-affected houses. The annual average tax revenue loss from these properties will be about $13 million between 2021 and 2030, $81 million between 2031 and 2050, and $330 million between 2051 and 2100. The technical report presents losses by town and community activity center (CAC).

So – what does the Climate Plan recommend?  Again – this is available in a full report and an executive summary, but here is my executive summary of the executive summary – these are the mitigations the Commission recommends:

• A comprehensive and diverse set of strategies will be needed to meet 2030 and 2050 emissions reduction goals.
• Implementation of electric air-source heat pumps is cost-effective for residents, leads to substantial health benefits, and is essential to reaching 2030 and 2050 GHG (Greenhouse Gas) emissions reduction goals.
• Renewable energy adoption is becoming price competitive and will be an important strategy for meeting GHG emissions reduction goals.
• Outreach and infrastructure around EV adoption is necessary to reach emissions goals and save consumers money, and the adoption of EVs will provide a major health benefit.
• Implementing aggressive electrification and renewable energy will bring green jobs into the region.

In the conclusion of the Executive Report, we find this particularly interesting quote:

Additionally, there are paths to meet 2030 and 2050 emissions reductions goals that align with the goals for the Commonwealth of Massachusetts; however, achieving these goals will require aggressive electrification and renewable energy implementation. Finally, many strategies with strong returns on investment can help offset the impacts of climate change or mitigate emissions.

That’s our cue, project managers!  Aggressive implementation!  Getting it done!  Getting goals – value-added goals, aligned with organizational strategy – achieved!  That’s program and project management in a nutshell.  Or a cranberryskin...

I am sharing my reaction to this article from the Cape Cod Times which paints a not-so-pretty picture of the future of the ecology (and economy) of Cape Cod.  The article, “Cape Official: A Sense of Urgency” is particularly interesting to PMs because of the sub headline “Commission Plan Maps Out How To Take Action On Climate Change”.  A plan to take action? An initiative to accomplish a valuable deliverable that is urgent and bound by a schedule?  Sounds like project management to me!

The trigger for this story and the ‘sense of urgency’ in the article’s title is the current and expected effect (or impact) of climate change.  Although the changes in temperature are in line with the (fairly scary) prediction of the climate scientists, the impacts of climate change are proving to be larger and more far-reaching than the predictions. 

The Cape Cod Commission this week released its action report.  But before we get to that, let’s talk about these impacts.  The head of the commission, Kristy Senatori, says, “Our economy is based on the environment.  Making sure we get ahead of this climate crisis is extremely important”.  I thought this a good chance to take a slight tangent and bring up the Eisenhower Matrix which plots importance and urgency.  It’s actually a good tool for project managers to use for sorting out their issues.  Here’s an excellent article on the Eisenhower Matrix and below an image from it.

Image from https://todoist.com/productivity-methods/eisenhower-matrix

The concept is pretty simple: the items that are urgent and important (in the upper-left corner here) are the ones you need to work on now – or they will create BIGGER, more dangerous problems in the future – like picking up a sick kid from school – or not dealing with the contributors to climate change NOW.

As to the Cape Cod Commission report, I found it to be very well-prepared and hopefully actionable.  I’ve decided to break this into two parts because there are several good PM lessons from this initiative.

For now, I’d like to point you to this work, giving you a chance to have a look at it before Part 2 of this post is published (in about a week), and tease out the rationale for the title of this post.

Below is an image from the Commission’s website that shows how the plan is decomposed into phases.  The topic and action plan are summarized on their site here and here.

I also summarize the purpose statement of the Action Plan below:

PURPOSE STATEMENT

To identify, study and monitor the causes and consequences of climate change on Cape Cod as a basis to guide and develop science-based policies, strategies and actions that governments, businesses, organizations, and individuals can pursue to:

• improve the region’s resilience to climate hazards; and
• mitigate climate change on Cape Cod through reducing net regional greenhouse gas emissions in support of the framework and targets established by the Commonwealth.

The full, 129-page Technical Report can be downloaded here, and a 14-page Executive Report can be found here.

And now, finally, an explainer of the title.  For those of you familiar with the very popular US comedy show “Seinfeld”, I don’t have to tell you much about the recurring “No Soup For You” theme in that show.  For those who aren’t familiar with it, you can find all of the details here.  The bottom line is that the characters in the show had to be very careful in this restaurant because of the delicate sensitivities of the chef, or to no longer have access to his delicious soup.  In our case – we have to be very careful in our delicate Cape Cod environment, or lose (for example) those tasty Cape Cod cranberries – and the industry and jobs that they support - as you will see in Part 2.

This is going to be a short blog post, because your time is valuable.  I am going to send you to not one, but two valuable videos just contributed by folks I admire: Ricardo Vargas, and Nader Rad,  core team contributors to the PMBOK® Guide 7^th edition.  Each will walk you through the new Guide and Standard, with valuable insight.

The connection to value here is no coincidence.  I also was one of about 70 reviewers of the document and submitted scores of changes, and I’m pleased and proud to see that they appeared to have made a difference.   Clearly (at least to me) there is now a solid encouragement for project managers to consider their project more holistically, in a larger context, and importantly, to look past the end of their project – in the longer term.  There is revolutionary feel to this – moving from outputs to outcomes, considering benefits over time: which is (in my mind) the definition of project value delivery.

And in fact, “Value” is one of the 12 Principles which form the basis for the Standard for Project Management.

Do me (and yourself) a favor. Please take some more of your valuable time to watch at least one of these, and I would value any comments you may have.

Ricardo Vargas

Nader Rad

In my last post I discussed things you can do – perhaps in your own home – to reduce the use of plastics.  You can take those initiatives to a higher level by looking for such reductions in your projects and programs.  Can this be taken to an even higher level – for example, your enterprise?

Actually, yes it can.  But it goes beyond plastics.  Here’s one way that you as an individual can produce an enterprise-level outcome.  It has to do with a pledge and with something called “stubborn optimism”.

In fact, let’s start there, with a very nice, short video by Christiana Figueres, whom I have blogged about on People, Planet, Profits and Projects before.

It’s short, informative and quite interesting background:

I mention “Stubborn Optimism” because it is at the heart of the organization “Global Optimism”, which in turn is the partner for something called The Climate Pledge.

The Climate Pledge, as summarized by this article in The Verge, is a call to businesses and organizations to take collective action on the world’s greatest crisis and to work together to build towards a safe and healthy planet for the next generations.  The Climate Pledge was  co-founded by Amazon's Jeff Bezos with Global Optimism in 2019. The Climate Pledge is a platform for signatories to work together on ambitious actions to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2040, 10 years ahead of the Paris Agreement.

There is a lot of good (who would expect anything else from an organization with Optimism In their name) on the Global Optimism site, I encourage you to have a look at.

For example, on their Events page, they state:

 “Achieving a zero emissions future is not a far-off challenge. It’s one we must get on track for now. Science demands that we cut global greenhouse gas emissions by half in the decade between 2020 and 2030, in order to eventually meet the goal of net zero emissions by 2050 at the latest. This goal was adopted by 195 countries through the Paris Agreement. It is now the responsibility of all of us to act with the courage, urgency and solidarity to build the transformative solutions to thrive now and in the future. We work with like-minded people and collectives from all sectors, investing in the steps required to be on this challenging – and life-affirming – journey.”

Also on their Events page, you will find some high-quality podcasts including:

• The Future of Transport
• Coronavirus and Climate Change
• The Race to Zero

So there are some excellent resources for you.  But let’s get back to the Climate Pledge. 

The commitments of the signatories of the Climate Change:

• Measure and report greenhouse gas emissions on a regular basis;

• Implement decarbonization strategies in line with the Paris Agreement through real business changes and innovations, including efficiency improvements, renewable energy, materials reductions, and other carbon emission elimination strategies;

• Neutralize any remaining emissions with additional, quantifiable, real, permanent, and socially-beneficial offsets to achieve net zero annual carbon emissions by 2040.

A quick perusal revealed these enterprises were indeed on the list:

• Heineken
• Visa
• Colgate-Palmolive
• Telefónica
• Pepsico
• IBM
• Unilever
• Microsoft

Is your organization on the list? Check it  here: https://www.theclimatepledge.com/us/en/Signatories

• If so, make sure your project team members are aware of it – your job as a project (and especially program or portfolio manager) is assure alignment of project outcomes and value with the enterprise’s high level mission and vision.  This is amplified greatly in the PMI's 7^th Edition PMBOK® Guide.
• If not, you can be an agent of change by suggesting to your C-level leadership that they would be in good company by signing on.

Either way, you have more “sway” than you think.